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Messages - More Than Mortal

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5791
Serious / Re: Let's Discuss America's Infrastructure
« on: May 15, 2015, 02:35:18 AM »
I would not be in a state of mourning if they were dismantled or checked in influence.
They're up in arms over here in the UK at the moment because the new Business Secretary (who is also Member of Parliament for my constituency, funnily enough) is introducing rules that would require at least 50pc of unionised workers take part in voting for a strike before the result can be considered legitimate.

He's also making it so, in emergency services, 40pc of the 50pc minimum requirement must vote for action before it can be taken. Unions are all like "muh industrial action".

Fuckers.

5792
Serious / Re: Is socialism solid in theory? No, I don't think so
« on: May 15, 2015, 02:30:36 AM »
And the marginal value is set slightly lower than what it would normally be so companies can make profit.
I don't see why they'd need to do that; they could just employ less people. Considering labour is literally the facilitation of value for a firm, it wouldn't really make sense for them to try and depress wages to line their pockets further. First of all because wages are already depressed by things like corporate income tax, and secondly because it wouldn't go well for them to have a competitor role up and offer higher wages.

5793
Serious / Re: Let's Discuss America's Infrastructure
« on: May 15, 2015, 02:28:17 AM »
I'm not really sure what you want to do here. So should the US continue maintenance on highways/railroads, let them become more decrepit yet usable, or just shut them down period?
I don't have any strong opinions, to be honest. If you're willing to hamstring the labour unions of these construction workers and completely overhaul the welfare system you could probably have infrastructure on par with Hong Kong.

That's what I favour, from a hypothetical point of view, but if you're looking for a realistic answer I don't have it. If the whole of the US were to become like Texas in the slimming down of unions, maybe some environmental regulations and entitlements then you could see a nationwide improvement in quality without the fairly radical policies I'd otherwise desire.

5794
Serious / Re: Is socialism solid in theory? No, I don't think so
« on: May 15, 2015, 02:23:01 AM »
I'm referring to the scenario in which you paid the working underclass the wage that they would deserve for hard work
How hard you work doesn't determine your wage, and nor should it.

The marginal value of your labour does.

5795
Serious / Re: Let's Discuss America's Infrastructure
« on: May 15, 2015, 02:21:59 AM »
Well, most of the infrastructure in terms of highways and railroads in the US has now switched to maintenance rather than construction.
Even so, infrastructure can only survive for so long.

Plus, I think wages and unionisation among construction workers is the same for maintenance workers since a lot of the former are employed for the latter.

5796
Serious / Re: Let's Discuss America's Infrastructure
« on: May 15, 2015, 02:17:08 AM »
The country would enter an economic crisis if the infrastructure went to shit.
It should have crappy infrastructure because of high construction costs. Which is why I then went on to say methods of slimming down such costs would allow for the improvement of infrastructure.

I'm not making a moral statement about what the quality of US infrastructure ought to be.

5797
Serious / Re: Let's Discuss America's Infrastructure
« on: May 15, 2015, 02:15:07 AM »
America should have crappy infrastructure.
And this kids is why idiots are dangerous
I've said it before and I'll say it again: it's a statement of fact, not of value. Which you really should've gleaned from the rest of the post. The point is that America's crappy infrastructure is not an anomaly; it should be that way because of inflated construction costs.

It would be weird if infrastructure were good.

5798
Serious / Re: Is socialism solid in theory? No, I don't think so
« on: May 15, 2015, 02:12:46 AM »
If you paid everyone what they deserve, then the entire system would collapse.
What?


5799
New Scientist
Quote
Giant magnetic spirals in the sky could explain why there is something rather than nothing in the universe, according to an analysis of data from NASA's Fermi space telescope.

Our best theories of physics imply we shouldn't be here. The Big Bang ought to have produced equal amounts of matter and antimatter particles, which would almost immediately annihilate each other, leaving nothing but light.

So the reality that we are here – and there seems to be very little antimatter around – is one of the biggest unsolved mysteries in physics.

Monopole monopoly

In 2001, Tanmay Vachaspati from Arizona State University offered a purely theoretical solution. Even if matter and antimatter were created in equal amounts, he suggested that as they annihilated each other, they would have briefly created monopoles and antimonopolesMovie Camera – hypothetical particles with just one magnetic pole, north or south.

As the monopoles and antimonopoles in turn annihilated each other, they would produce matter and antimatter. But because of a quirk in nature called CP violation, that process would be biased towards matter, leaving the matter-filled world we see today.

If that happened, Vachaspati showed that there should be a sign of it today: twisted magnetic fields permeating the universe – a fossil of the magnetic monopoles that briefly dominated. And he showed they should look like left-handed screws rather than right-handed screws.

So Vachaspati and his colleagues went looking for them in data from NASA's Fermi Gamma ray Space Telescope. As gamma rays shoot through the cosmos, they should be bent by any magnetic field they pass through, so if there are helical magnetic fields permeating the universe, that should leave a visible mark on those gamma rays.

All of a twist

Lo and behold, that's just what they found – well, maybe. "What we found is consistent with them all being left-handed," says Vachaspati. "But we can't be sure." He says there's less than a one per cent chance that what they see in the Fermi data happened by chance. "That's being conservative," he says.

They also found that the twists in the field are a bit bigger than they predicted. "So there is some mystery there," says Vachaspati. He says more data from Fermi, which is expected this year, will help narrow down the odds.

Nicole Bell from the University of Melbourne in Australia warns that magnetic fields could have been caused in other ways, including from inflation. What's more, for CP-violation to provide enough matter in the universe you usually need "new physics" – stuff beyond the standard model of particle physics – which hasn't been confirmed experimentally yet. "But it is a very interesting idea," she says.

5800
Serious / Re: Deregulation of banking is good for growth
« on: May 14, 2015, 05:01:01 PM »
Deregulation of banks has led us to these problems and were a big factor in causing the Great Recession.
Not as much as people seem to think; too much bad regulation was probably a bigger factor than too little good regulation. I think the study is valid, since the banking system would've been much less complicated and local in the 1800s, but there is a place for certain generic regulation in the modern financial system.

Namely liquidity and capital requirements, along with publicly published plans by all banks over a certain size for how they would wind down if they found themselves insolvent.

5801
Serious / Deregulation of banking is good for growth
« on: May 14, 2015, 04:04:05 PM »
Duisenberg School of Finance
Quote
We exploit the introduction of free banking laws in US states during the 1837-1863 period to examine the impact of removing barriers to bank entry on bank competition and economic growth. As governments were not concerned about systemic stability in this period, we are able to isolate the effects of bank competition from those of state implicit guarantees.

We find that the introduction of free banking laws stimulated the creation of new banks and led to more bank failures. Our empirical evidence indicates that states adopting free banking laws experienced an increase in output per capita compared to the states that retained state bank chartering policies.

We argue that the fiercer bank competition following the introduction of free banking laws might have spurred economic growth by (1) increasing the money stock and the availability of credit; (2) leading to efficiency gains in the banking market. Our findings suggest that the more frequent bank failures occurring in a competitive banking market do not harm long-run economic growth in a system without public safety nets.

5802
Serious / Democracy is weakly negative for economic growth
« on: May 14, 2015, 03:59:54 PM »
Fucking lol
Quote
Growth and democracy (subjective indexes of political freedom) are analyzed for a panel of about 100 countries from 1960 to 1990. The favorable effects on growth include maintenance of the rule of law, free markets, small government consumption, and high human capital. Once these kinds of variables and the initial level of real per capita GDP are held constant, the overall effect of democracy on growth is weakly negative. There is a suggestion of a nonlinear relationship in which more democracy enhances growth at low levels of political freedom but depresses growth when a moderate level of freedom has already been attained. Improvements in the standard of living—measured by GDP, health status, and education—substantially raise the probability that political freedoms will grow. These results allow for predictions about which countries will become more or less democratic over time.
So, controlling for things like the rule of law, regulation, government spending and human capital, the democratic system has a negative effect on economic growth.

5803
Serious / Re: Welcome to Oceania, Britain
« on: May 14, 2015, 03:17:39 PM »
I don't know whether I support this or not.


5804
Serious / Re: So my uncle has turned to religion. . .
« on: May 14, 2015, 02:53:39 PM »
Is it an oversight? Probably
One which presumably shouldn't happen under the watch of an omnipotent God? I mean, in all his infinite power, could he not have given us a system of stellar energy which wouldn't give us skin cancer if we're exposed for too long?

5805
Serious / Re: So my uncle has turned to religion. . .
« on: May 14, 2015, 02:51:53 PM »
which is to see David's lineage eventually culminating in Jesus.
I'm sure you understand that it's incredibly difficult for an atheist like me to understand why an omnipotent deity would act in such a manner.

Not to mention, I feel the Humean criticisms apply here: why Yahweh? Why not Allah? What legitimacy do metaphysical conclusions about the nature of God have in light of the empirical considerations? How do you know it wasn't, as Hume put it, an "infant Deity", or a collection of Deities as a group of ship-builders would construct a carrack?

What empirical basis do you have?

5806
Serious / Re: So my uncle has turned to religion. . .
« on: May 14, 2015, 12:49:23 PM »
There's no such example of wanton killing. It's all essentially cause and effect, with the difference being that the forces of nature don't have a capacity for grace.
What about Soddom and Gomorrah? I'm not asking facetiously, because I'm fairly sure you've accounted for that in the past and I'm interested in the answer.

But, then again, there is the example of God sending two bears to maul forty-two children for making fun of a bald prophet. . . And then God strengthening King Eglon of Moab to ally with the Ammonites and the Amalekites to annex Israel for 18 years until Ehud saved them. . .

5807
Serious / Re: Is socialism solid in theory? No, I don't think so
« on: May 13, 2015, 02:35:28 PM »
I'll try not to spam this thread with Cameron Watt videos...
Oh God his videos make me fucking cringe.

5808
Serious / Re: So my uncle has turned to religion. . .
« on: May 13, 2015, 01:56:48 PM »
Mere Christianity is a great book. Give it a read.
I was actually planning on it.

5809
Serious / Is socialism solid in theory? No, I don't think so
« on: May 13, 2015, 01:55:21 PM »
I wouldn't go insofar as to say this represents the views of Verbatim, but his somewhat socialist/communist ideas and talk of theory set me off. The following formulation is my own, but it's certainly not original to me; I have seen it espoused in various forms beforehand.

So, why is the market most efficient? As opposed to some sort of central planner (which it looks like Verbatim would prefer) which is omniscient and benevolent.

Socialists tend to argue that a thing's value is derived from its labour, and thus W=APL. Or, that real wages ought to equal the average product of labour. Or, essentially, labour divided equally. It underlies most charges of exploitation under capitalism, and can be seen creeping into criticisms of the supply-demand price mechanism.

However, even if you assume a benevolent social planner with complete information you still end up with:
W=MPL (real wages = marginal product of labour).
R=MPK (real interest rates = marginal product of capital).
MU1/MU2=MC1/MC2 (marginal utility = marginal cost).

A market in Walrasian equilibrium is simply much more efficient, even when you have a social planner involved. Even if you desired a certain level of equality in your society, the social planner would simply tinker with the capital stock and let the market reach Pareto efficiency by itself, not throw the baby out with the bathwater.

Most socialists see a divergence between P and MSC (or the price and marginal social cost, implying a negative distortion), however the solution to this is not to do away with the supply-demand price mechanism. The solution is to tweak the price mechanism, probably with a tax, to make sure P=MSC.

Accordingly, you end up with MU1/MU2 = P1/P2 = MC1/MC2, which means the economy has a fully equalising utility-cost ratio as well as the so despised price mechanism.

So yeah, socialism doesn't have theory on its side.

5810
Serious / Re: Why "social justice" is bullshit
« on: May 13, 2015, 01:42:17 PM »
BRB, making a thread about socialist theory.

5811
Serious / Re: Why "social justice" is bullshit
« on: May 13, 2015, 01:35:55 PM »
I'd love to make pencils. I'd love to do productive work, and I would do it for free.
Which is completely unrealistic; you saw all of the labour, places, infrastructure and capital that it required for the production of a pencil. You could make a pencil for free if you had all of the parts required, if you so desired, but you're still totally ignoring the majority of the distribution system/

Quote
I don't think anyone can really take issue with that, at least in theory.
Most economists do, quite easily. Money is a medium of exchange, it allows you to receive bread in the capacity to purchase it if you so desire. Paying people in goods for their labour is the mark of a dying economy that no longer has an effective medium of exchange, which is a necessity for all economies which suffer from scarcity.

Quote
The underlying problem with this should be tautological, but... perhaps not to a capitalist.
Why should you pay less for the same product in an area where it is more scarce? It doesn't properly represent the supply of that product, and would lead to its inefficient allocation. It's what happens when you subsidise the consumption of water for farmers in California: artificial scarcity, because the allocative mechanism is no longer there.

5812
Serious / Re: Let's Discuss America's Infrastructure
« on: May 13, 2015, 01:18:41 PM »
Unions in this country are nearly nonexistent
. . . Okay. That doesn't change the fact that most strikes take place in the construction sector and that the cost of construction is incredibly high due to consultancy and labour fees.

Quote
Anyone saying unions need to be cut for infrastructure doesn't understand America very well, or is a fox news pundit.
Or, y'know, understands economics.

Quote
Which would obviously be a bad thing...for you know the environment.
I don't remember disagreeing with that.

Quote
As far as entitlements conservatives are already trying to privatize Social Security and Medicare.
Yes, because Bush didn't get shafted by the AARP in 2005 and then go on to expand them by 51pc and 131pc respectively. I also don't see how this is relevant. . . People trying to privatise it doesn't mean it's privatised. . . Duh. And Obamacare totally didn't raise the Medicaid boundary to 131pc of the poverty line and totally shaft states like Alabama and Arkansas who were trying to slim down their rolls.

Quote
Don't get me started on healthcare. Compared to the rest of the modern world this is an area we lag behind in drastically.
Partly as a result of excessive regulation and ridiculous tax deductions; but I don't know what this has to do with entitlements.

Quote
America is hardly the land of entitlements
Yeah, it kind of is. The vested interests of entitlement programmes have blocked any kind of substantial reform every time it's been tried in recent history. Hong Kong, for instance, has a mandatory retirement savings programme along with the best infrastructure in the world.

I didn't even say that America had too many entitlements, I said that the current state of entitlement spending (including pensions) is retarding infrastructural development. That's a statement of fact, not of values. So I don't know why you're assuming this proposition is "People have too much welfare". . . Because I didn't say that.

Quote
So really you're just listing conservative talking points that don't hold up to reality.
Ha, no I'm not. You're shoehorning in your biases by thinking me saying "This would allow for the construction of more infrastructure" is me actually saying "We should do all of this

Quote
Suggesting we should defund all the stuff that is already practically gutted
What? No, it isn't. The fact that structural issues cause massive funding deficits is not them being "gutted", it's them being inefficient.


5813
Serious / Re: Let's Discuss America's Infrastructure
« on: May 13, 2015, 12:42:36 PM »
I can tell you don't live here.
. . . Okay? I don't see what that has to do with anything.


5814
Serious / Re: Let's Discuss America's Infrastructure
« on: May 13, 2015, 12:40:26 PM »
You don't see the possibility for corruption?
How is private competition more susceptible to government control?

5815
Serious / Re: Let's Discuss America's Infrastructure
« on: May 13, 2015, 12:25:16 PM »
America should have crappy infrastructure.

Development costs are insane compared to other developed countries. You can have cheaper infrastructure, but only if you're willing to slim down unions, cut environmental legislation and roll-back entitlements.

Also, I favour incentivising the private sector to contribute.

5816
Serious / Re: So my uncle has turned to religion. . .
« on: May 13, 2015, 12:19:49 PM »
Would you rather be a miserable depressed atheist or a happy religious person?
I didn't say I would. I'm glad he's happy, it was terrible when he was depressive for both him and us, but it certainly opens up interesting questions about how religion and mental illness relate and deeper philosophical considerations about the trade-off between knowledge and happiness.

It's also a personal issue for me; experiencing something this closely has shaken by strongly negative view of religion. I'll  probably go to the local church and speak to the Father. If anybody has any advice on the best way to approach the issue then it'll be the a clergyman.

5817
Also, David Cameron last Friday:
YouTube

5818
Financial Times

Well, it looks as if the first Conservative majority government in 18 years has its work cut out for it. There are 90 more Liberal Democratic and Labour peers in the Lords than Conservative peers. As well as 178 cross-benchers who are essentially independent.

Peers have a constitutional duty under the 1945 Salisbury Convention to not block bills promised in the government's election manifesto, but Liberal and Labour peers still think there's ample room to frustrate the government even on election promises if they aren't specific enough; the proposed £12bn of welfare savings, for example.

And a Labour figure in the Lords said they planned to focus on controversial issues which bring public attention, since they will be able to get cross-benchers on-side. The peers will look to make amendments to radically change government policy.

Looks like the Tories will get defeated more in the Lords than they will in the Commons.

5819
Serious / Re: So my uncle has turned to religion. . .
« on: May 13, 2015, 11:57:46 AM »
You said he was happy right? I'm sure religion his working for him than. Some people it won't be enough.

You're thinking too much about it if you think there's more than that.
This is a place for discussion, for people who want to discuss relevant information and ideas. If you don't think there's a discussion to be had, you're welcome to not participate.

5820
Serious / Re: So my uncle has turned to religion. . .
« on: May 13, 2015, 11:49:27 AM »
so than what the fuck do you want to discuss
Mental illness.
Religion.
How the two relate.
Whether or not religion is an effective tool for the mentally ill.
Whether or not it's worth sacrificing our epistemic principles to use such a tool.

Come on, I don't need to spoon-feed you.

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