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Messages - More Than Mortal

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2821
Serious / Re: How do YOU judge America?
« on: December 18, 2015, 03:08:57 PM »
No one is going to say "Just look at Zimbabwe! They have bad healthcare so you should be thankful America has it!" It's just not something you can compare at all.
Why the fuck not? There's just as much value, if not more, in looking at inter-group differences as intra-group differences.

2822
Serious / Re: How do YOU judge America?
« on: December 18, 2015, 03:07:22 PM »
OT: I don't particularly see anything factually incorrect with the video. It probably is the case that countries like the US and Britain (and probably France) are the most important countries historically by virtue of their influence, and their positive impact on the world politically, institutionally, culturally and economically is difficult to understate. . .

We are also responsible for some of the greatest atrocities in history. The British rule over both India and Palestine was a disaster, although the extent to which the British Raj is directly responsible for the former is debatable. The racism seen in the European colonies in Africa was also obviously abhorrent, although not at all unexpected if you understand even the slightest degree of human nature and its parochial leanings. America has tarnished its record with things like Abu Ghraib, pulling out of Iraq and leaving a power vacuum, having a mental health crisis precipitated by the "greatest" conservative president ever, it's foreign policy in South America under Roosevelt etc.

But you know who else has done abhorrent things? Literally everybody. The problem is that you don't get to ship slaves across the ocean when you don't have a culture or an economy advanced enough for the construction of ships to survive transatlantic haulage. Yet Africans still sold slaves and dominated one another--the ethnic divisions continue to today--but it rarely gets talked about. Why? Because it's much more dramatic to have the advanced white man come over in his ship and whisk away a few helpless niggers who will be forced into servitude. The Native Americans were actually really fucking wasteful, chopping down more trees and killing more buffalos than they could consume. Why is it never mentioned? Because when you don't have a culture or an economy geared towards the production of advanced materials like swords or flintlocks, your ability to kill things is rather undermined.

And just look at the horrible things we see in the Middle East, which are readily talked about but never quite put up to the same moral standard we Westerners are and why? Islamo-Arabic societies are not as culturally or economically advanced as us; they don't have the same capacity as us.

The fact that we've done a lot of horrible things that need to be recognised and corrected is an unfortunate offshoot of our superiority. We only manage to make such fuck-ups because we've advanced so far ahead of everybody else in the first place. On this account, despite our mistakes . . . Yes, the United Kingdom and our brother-in-arms the United States are a force for good in the world.

2823
Serious / Re: How do YOU judge America?
« on: December 18, 2015, 02:48:21 PM »
"Which societies were the first to abolish slavery?"

Who cares? It's not a competition. Being the "first" to stop something that never should have happened to begin with warrants no pat on the shoulder from anybody with any reasonable standards.

The 13th amendment was ratified in 1865. That is nearly a century too late in my eyes. Sorry.

I don't view that as a reason to have pride--it's just another reason to be ashamed.

America probably doesn't need a "transformation," but it's certainly not a good country. I don't know what a "good country" is. I've always thought people were inherently selfish and evil at their core, so this idea that there can even be a "good country" in this day and age is kind of laughable to me.

Fun fact:
The state of Mississippi didn't actually ratify the 13th amendment until 1995.
Do you know how widespread slavery is nowadays? I don't give a fuck what standards you want to hold the U.S. too by itself, but to deny that it is a couple of centuries ahead of most of the rest of the world in this regard is factually wrong.

2824
Serious / Re: How do YOU judge America?
« on: December 18, 2015, 01:43:41 PM »
YouTube


this tbh
I fucking hate that video, it's such a perfect display of typical, weasel-y Hollywood progressivism.

2825
No, I was more so wondering who would have said it, and why you were generalizing an entire political party.
Better?
If you changed it to Rick Santorum or Mike Huckashit, I might be more inclined to believe the headline.
Rubio is a known climate change skeptic.

Ted Cruz might be better, though.

2826
No, I was more so wondering who would have said it, and why you were generalizing an entire political party.
Better?

2827
Sorry, I misspelled NASA.

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A new NASA study says that an increase in Antarctic snow accumulation that began 10,000 years ago is currently adding enough ice to the continent to outweigh the increased losses from its thinning glaciers.

The research challenges the conclusions of other studies, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) 2013 report, which says that Antarctica is overall losing land ice.

According to the new analysis of satellite data, the Antarctic ice sheet showed a net gain of 112 billion tons of ice a year from 1992 to 2001. That net gain slowed   to 82 billion tons of ice per year between 2003 and 2008.

“We’re essentially in agreement with other studies that show an increase in ice discharge in the Antarctic Peninsula and the Thwaites and Pine Island region of West Antarctica,” said Jay Zwally, a glaciologist with NASA Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, and lead author of the study, which was published on Oct. 30 in the Journal of Glaciology. “Our main disagreement is for East Antarctica and the interior of West Antarctica – there, we see an ice gain that exceeds the losses in the other areas.”  Zwally added that his team “measured small height changes over large areas, as well as the large changes observed over smaller areas.”

Scientists calculate how much the ice sheet is growing or shrinking from the changes in surface height that are measured by the satellite altimeters. In locations where the amount of new snowfall accumulating on an ice sheet is not equal to the ice flow downward and outward to the ocean, the surface height changes and the ice-sheet mass grows or shrinks.

But it might only take a few decades for Antarctica’s growth to reverse, according to Zwally. “If the losses of the Antarctic Peninsula and parts of West Antarctica continue to increase at the same rate they’ve been increasing for the last two decades, the losses will catch up with the long-term gain in East Antarctica in 20 or 30 years -- I don’t think there will be enough snowfall increase to offset these losses.”

The study analyzed changes in the surface height of the Antarctic ice sheet measured by radar altimeters on two European Space Agency European Remote Sensing (ERS) satellites, spanning from 1992 to 2001, and by the laser altimeter on NASA’s Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat) from 2003 to 2008.

Zwally said that while other scientists have assumed that the gains in elevation seen in East Antarctica are due to recent increases in snow accumulation, his team used meteorological data beginning in 1979 to show that the snowfall in East Antarctica actually decreased by 11 billion tons per year during both the ERS and ICESat periods. They also used information on snow accumulation for tens of thousands of years, derived by other scientists from ice cores, to conclude that East Antarctica has been thickening for a very long time.

“At the end of the last Ice Age, the air became warmer and carried more moisture across the continent, doubling the amount of snow dropped on the ice sheet,” Zwally said.

The extra snowfall that began 10,000 years ago has been slowly accumulating on the ice sheet and compacting into solid ice over millennia, thickening the ice in East Antarctica and the interior of West Antarctica by an average of 0.7 inches (1.7 centimeters) per year. This small thickening, sustained over thousands of years and spread over the vast expanse of these sectors of Antarctica, corresponds to a very large gain of ice – enough to outweigh the losses from fast-flowing glaciers in other parts of the continent and reduce global sea level rise. 

Zwally’s team calculated that the mass gain from the thickening of East Antarctica remained steady from 1992 to 2008 at 200 billion tons per year, while the ice losses from the coastal regions of West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula increased by 65 billion tons per year.

“The good news is that Antarctica is not currently contributing to sea level rise, but is taking 0.23 millimeters per year away,” Zwally said. “But this is also bad news. If the 0.27 millimeters per year of sea level rise attributed to Antarctica in the IPCC report is not really coming from Antarctica, there must be some other contribution to sea level rise that is not accounted for.”

“The new study highlights the difficulties of measuring the small changes in ice height happening in East Antarctica,” said Ben Smith, a glaciologist with the University of Washington in Seattle who was not involved in Zwally’s study.

"Doing altimetry accurately for very large areas is extraordinarily difficult, and there are measurements of snow accumulation that need to be done independently to understand what’s happening in these places,” Smith said.

To help accurately measure changes in Antarctica, NASA is developing the successor to the ICESat mission, ICESat-2, which is scheduled to launch in 2018. “ICESat-2 will measure changes in the ice sheet within the thickness of a No. 2 pencil,” said Tom Neumann, a glaciologist at Goddard and deputy project scientist for ICESat-2. “It will contribute to solving the problem of Antarctica’s mass balance by providing a long-term record of elevation changes.”

So, aside from the article, which is interesting in itself, I thought I'd use this thread to conduct a little social experiment. I didn't use Donald Trump, since that would just be asking for trouble, so I went with generic "Republicans"; how did you react to the title?

Did you scoff and say it can't possibly be true?

2828
Serious / Re: Israel: the world's most moral army
« on: December 18, 2015, 07:46:17 AM »
This is a propaganda piece, so the linguistics of it is incredibly important: The phrase "I believe Israel acts in accordance with certain standards and is therefore decent" and "Israel is decent" give two very different impressions and are not the same statement.
See, this is where you fall down in your own pedantry. It's blindingly obvious that the video is a persuasion piece--or, if you really want to use such an inappropriate word, propaganda. Pretty much everything is in this day and age. You're using such a wide definition of "propaganda" that you can literally discard anything said without offering any kind of substantive rebuttal.

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The speaker is claiming that Israel and it's actions are inherently good because it is a "country with Western values and democratic principles"

Pedantry x2.

The speaker is saying Israel is a good country because it is based on Western values and democratic principles; this is not an outrageous claim to make, given the relative success and prosperity countries based on such ideas have enjoyed. He's not saying, and nor am I, that Israel can do no wrong.

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The fact is that what he said isn't a compliment or an insult but a statement of fact, being a democracy isn't inherently good or inherently bad (though I would consider it to be inherently flawed) yet he is twisting that statement to make it carry an emotional approval because this is propaganda. And I never claimed all systems were equal.
Pedantry x1,000,000.

This makes no sense.

Democracy is inherently flawed, but not inherently bad? Not all systems are equal, yet you cannot say any system is inherently superior to the other? This are contradictory statements, the latter especially so.

Democracy, insofar as a country has inclusive institutions and a civil society, is positive for human well-being. We can reasonably call this arrangement good relative to the other options without being propagandists. You're bordering on proposing a system where we cannot saying anything is good or bad without being jackbooted shills for one side or another.

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Because having your country founded on conquest and taking land sets a precedent for continuing to do so, and they're still doing so. http://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-settlement-expansion-ongoing-but-best-to-keep-it-under-wraps/
Just to put it out there, I don't support the construction of civilian settlements in the West Bank, and PragerU has previously had another speaker talking about Israel who expressed the same opinion.

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The speaker was talking as if Israel had done nothing wrong at all and that the the surrounding states wanted to destroy them just for the hell of it, that Israel are the victims here, when in fact the surrounding states quite clearly have a historical justification for wanting their land back.
Except it's not their land. A Palestinian State has never existed, and to be honest the land was never stolen. The Palestine region passed from the Ottomans to the British to Israel--with numerous border changes since then. Transjordan is now Jordan. The surrounding countries had no land taken from them by the Jews, yet attacked their newly founded country anyway the day after the British left. . .

They have no justification at all for wanting to wipe Israel off the map. The Palestinians had no identity under the Ottomans or the British, yet Israel lets them vote, sit in the Knesset and, fuck, there's even one on the Supreme Court. . . And yet Hamas and the surrounding nations have it in for Israel because of their sick ideology, not any historical grievance.

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As for that, if you willingly try to live in a place where everyone hates you, you're an idiot.
Would you say the same to Muslims moving to incredibly xenophobic regions of Western countries?

Not to mention, as I've already said, the region was previously administered by the Ottomans and then the British. Compared to Europe, this offered a fairly good--although not ideal--climate for Jewish emigrants.

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Or are you telling me you didn't bat an eye at that line?
I'm not telling you anything, I'm asking you to expand on your rather brief outburst.

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Killing civilians is a war crime.
Intentionally killing civilians is a war crime; do Israel know civilians will die? Of course, but that doesn't prove intention.

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I'm saying that fighting terrorists does not justify committing acts of terror among other atrocities.
So is Israel meant to sit back and do nothing, just relying on its Iron Dome and never retaliating to blatant attacks even when civilians die? Can you imagine how insane it would be for any Western country to limit itself in this manner?

Especially considering the direction of causality is Israel casualties leading to Palestinian casualties, not vice versa.

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I just thought the phrase was funny, "terror tunnels" sounds like an amusement park ride, sort of makes the propaganda less effective.
I commend you to sticking to your tactic of ignoring the substance and simply brushing it off as propaganda.

But I'm going to be honest and say I'm not impressed by your flippant reaction to a terrorist organisation working 160 children to death in the construction of tunnels to use in the terrorisation of civilians.

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Yes, 18000 homes were all storing weapons
Ahem.

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Also offtopic: Fagcicle told me to talk to you about "why outsourcing is good and how immigrants are necessary.", any comments or resources you'd like to share?
Outsourcing is good due to comparative advantage; it allows economies to specialise and devote their resources/productivity to the production of X, while the country that has temporarily lost jobs due to outsourcing can now focus on the production of Y which is usually a higher-cost, higher-wage service. Standard go-to is Krugman's "In Praise of Cheap Labor".

Immigration literature is a bit more disparate, though, I'll have to look through my databanks.

2829
Serious / Re: Why does the West have such a hard time
« on: December 18, 2015, 03:40:09 AM »
Why should you be proud of your nation's accomplishments?
This is such a bullshit complaint. No, pride is not reserved for your own accomplishments. You can be proud of your children, your parents, your friends, your politicians etc.

You can be proud that your fellow countrymen have managed to construct a functioning culture with inclusive political institutions, both of which will have contributed significantly to your own development as an individual.

2830
Serious / Re: Why does the West have such a hard time
« on: December 18, 2015, 03:36:26 AM »
>Negative female societal expectations for sex juxtaposed with a positive male societal expectation for sex
>Social stigmatism against sexuality, often equated as worse than violence
>Little acknowledgement of asexuality, virginity being held as something bad to have to men and bad to lose for women
>The entire concept of physical virginity in women
>Expectations to have kids
>Disapproval of casual sex
>Disapproval of group sex
>Disapproval of polyamory from both a sexual and romantic standpoint

Pls go and stay go
You know traditions are basically social technologies, right? They're ways of adapting a culture to be effective in the world around us; they are inter-generational pools of knowledge. So what gives you the authority to make such sweeping proclamations?

2831
Serious / Re: Why does the West have such a hard time
« on: December 18, 2015, 03:34:11 AM »
-Saying that people who don't hate Islam are ignorant is just hilariously ironic. The area had been war-torn and plagued by foreign invasions for decades, it's probably not gonna be the pinnacle of stability.
Blowback probably doesn't exist; instability in the Islamic world stems both mainly from fundamentalist religious factors and domestic political factors, such as the commonness of authoritarianism and the failure of a civil society to develop.

Which, really, is a shame for Islam. Were the political situation not so dire, Islam would be an important channel for the development of civil society.

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Might have something to do with systematic genocide over a couple centuries, though.
Of course it's not their culture, dummy, there is no single Native American culture. The term "Native American" is only defined ethno-linguistically, not culturally.

And no, despite what your narrative of TEH EVUL WHITE MAN would have be true, disease was a much bigger killer than swords and muskets.

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-And yet again, you miss the point as to how India became so poor-off. As a hint, Gandhi wasn't praised because India was doing fantastic at the time.
There's a sharp division among historians as to whether or not the British Empire was ultimately good for India. Leaving aside my own opinion on the matter, two points should be made:

- Ghandi was a coward and a horrible individual. We should all be thankful he never garnered more influence than he did.

- Like many others, you drastically over-estimate the overhang of colonialism. Most issues in India are to do with the poor quality of domestic institutions and the nature of the economy; the policies of Manmohan Singh in the 1990s went some way to reducing the issue, and India has indeed improved its position since then.

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-Seriously, do you not understand what Colonialism was? Because I'm pretty much 100% certain that you don't understand what Colonialism was.
Colonialism is not the be-all-and-end-all of contemporary history.

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-Guess we should probably condemn the scandinavian countries and their glorification of viking culture, too, huh? After all, death metal bands like Mayhem encourage violence, black magic, and the burning of churches. Oh, and we should probably get rid of those evil violent video games too, huh?
A cultural appreciation for heavy music is starkly different from a culture which incentivises a social structure of competing gangs. This should be obvious.

2832
Serious / Re: Israel: the world's most moral army
« on: December 18, 2015, 02:58:32 AM »
Israel being a decent country is an opinion not a fact.
There are well established cultural mores determining whether or not a country is behaving in a "decent" manner; if you're going to dispute this on the basis that this is an opinion then you're just being fucking pedantic.

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Israel being in the style of Western democracy is a neutral statement not a compliment.
Because when it comes to different cultures and political systems, they're all equal! Right? The wealth of evidence on the importance of inclusive political institutions for human well-being is irrelevant! RIGHT?

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Israel's existence is built on stolen land, of course it has an interest in war.
As if the Jews stole it? The British Empire is who put them there, why would this automatically make their interest in war any greater other than for self-preservation?

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And nobody would want to destroy it if it wasn't built on stolen land.
This is literally the dumbest thing you could say. Who cares? Who cares if the land is stolen? How does that help us now? Are you going to walk through the streets of Tel Aviv with a sign saying "You are on stolen land" and hope they all go "Well fuck me, I'd better move". Historical arguments absolutely do not help us in remedying the present situation, because the fact that the land is "stolen" has no practical implications for us at this point in time.

It's also categorically untrue that they would not be killing Jews if the land weren't stolen; Jews have emigrated to the region since the 1880s and Palestinians have been spontaneously violent to them on several occasions since at least as early as 1920.

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"Judaism, with it's unsurpassed moral standards" Is this a fucking joke?
What's the problem?

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If you want peace then leave the region instead of causing more conflict.
Lol.

"Don't like it, just leave".

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Yes, killing civilians is clearly the pinnacle of National Defense.
It is when the people trying to murder you are storing their weapons besides residential areas, schools, hospitals, orphanages and use fucking human shields.

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At this point the propaganda is getting pretty blatant; TERRORISTS!
Are you trying to say Hamas aren't terrorists?

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I can't have much sympathy for Israel being shot at when they have their iron dome system.
Great, I'm going to go to Texas and mug everybody since they have concealed carry laws there.

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Precision strikes precisely targeting schools and hospitals.
BECAUSE THAT'S WHERE THEY KEEP THE FUCKING WEAPONS, YOU TWAT.

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"terror tunnels"
That, at least in one case, 160 Palestinian kids died building.

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to point at something and say "see, we're not the bad guys, we did this much to help the Palestinians"; eating your cake and still wanting to have it afterwards.
Except this is exactly what Hamas does by provoking attacks in areas which will inevitably have a high civilian death toll. . . So they can point at Israel and say "Look how evil the Jews are, we're just an oppressed group!".

How the fuck are you so blind to such an obvious double standard?

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Also, how are those phone calls even commendable? "Hey Ahmed i'm gonna bomb your house in a bit try not to die, bye bye now"
Because, unfortunately for Ahmed, his government is waging war on a neighbouring country while storing weapons in the vicinity of Ahmed's house. I don't know about you, but I'd be pretty fucking grateful for some warning.


2833
Serious / Re: Israel: the world's most moral army
« on: December 15, 2015, 08:10:16 PM »
why do in some cases do they attack the targets anyway?
Because Israel isn't full of pussies and faggots who would rather capitulate than fight their self-declared enemies.

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Is it ever a case of killing a few Palestinian civs to save several magnitudes more Jewish civs
There's very strong statistical evidence for the direction of causality being Israeli casualties leading to Palestinian casualties, not the other way around.

2834
The Flood / Re: I just got a jury summons in the mail.
« on: December 15, 2015, 07:18:41 PM »
Because half the front page space wasn't fucking wasted already.
Shit content is still content.

This post doesn't even qualify as content; this is pretty much proven by the fact that the most discussion value it has is in discussing whether it has value.

And I swear to God if you give me thirty paragraphs I will fly to Canada and rape a kitten in front of you.

2835
The Flood / Re: I just got a jury summons in the mail.
« on: December 15, 2015, 07:06:16 PM »
Jury Duty is mandatory, isn't it?
yep.
Presumably you understand what "mandatory" means.

So why waste space on the front page with such a redundant fucking question it makes me think you're more autistic than Deci?

2836
The Flood / Re: Dumbest thing you've done while thinking with your penis
« on: December 15, 2015, 07:03:31 PM »
Well, it potentially happened last night. Too early to know the ramifications though, so I'll have to sit around and wait and see.

But fuck me, I'm dumb.
No condom/weak pull out game???
No, I was the rebound. I think.

2837
The Flood / Re: Dumbest thing you've done while thinking with your penis
« on: December 15, 2015, 05:12:58 PM »
Well, it potentially happened last night. Too early to know the ramifications though, so I'll have to sit around and wait and see.

But fuck me, I'm dumb.

2838
Serious / Re: Israel: the world's most moral army
« on: December 15, 2015, 03:15:27 PM »
What a joke.
WHAT A CONSTRUCTIVE COMMENT

YOU'VE DEFINITELY GIVEN ME THE IMPRESSION THAT YOU ARE A VALUABLE CONTRIBUTOR TO THIS FORUM, AND I LOOK FORWARD TO SEEING OTHER WELL-THOUGHT-OUT POSTS IN THE FUTURE.

2839
Serious / Israel: the world's most moral army
« on: December 15, 2015, 02:40:38 PM »
YouTube


I don't usually like PragerU, but this seemed worth posting.

2840
Why do you link the article, and then just copy paste the whole thing in a quote? We can click it and read it, just offer your opinions on it instead.
Whether or not I offer up my opinions is a matter of personal discretion. My main concern here is the spreading of information, and observing any resulting discussion.

2841
Serious / Re: Donald Trump wants to 'close up' the Internet
« on: December 15, 2015, 02:18:56 PM »
Trump is either a double agent or literally a fascist.

2842
According to the Norwegian police.

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Hundreds of asylum seekers entering Norway have been discovered with images of “Isis flags” and “executions” on their mobile phones, Norwegian police have said.

The Police Immigration (PU) in Norway have reportedly been working under severe strain to register increasing numbers of refugees hoping to seek asylum in the country.

Police told the Norwegian newspaper Nettavisen “hundreds” of examples of “photos and videos of executions and brutal punishments, such as images of people holding up severed heads or hands” have been found after searching the luggage and phones of new arrivals.

Authorities also discovered numerous examples of Isis flags and symbols belonging to other terrorist organisations, according to reports.

The discoveries come amid concerns Isis may be utilising the refugee crisis in order to smuggle extremists into Europe, following the string of terror attacks in Paris last month, which killed 130 people.

Last month the French Prime Minister, Manuel Valls, announced some of the Paris attackers “took advantage of the refugee crisis” to slip into Europe.

Mr Valls was among a number of leaders calling for tighter security at the Schengen area’s external borders after Greek authorities confirmed one of the suicide bombers at the Stade de France used a fake Syrian passport to enter the EU as an asylum seeker.

Reports of concerning images being found in the possession of refugees' surfaced earlier this year.

A director of the Norwegian government asylum division told Norwegian newspaper Dagsavisen in March: “It can be very demanding to find out who these people are and what they have done.

“We have to detect whether they have taken part in terrorist operations, deserted a terrorist operation or defected from a terrorist organization, and that’s critical for our evaluation of their application”.

Hanne Jendal at the Immigration Directorate said asylum seekers found to have participated in criminal acts would be denied refugee status, The Local reports.

Since 2008, between 90 and 100 people have been denied asylum due to past participation in terrorism.

The number of asylum seekers making first-time applications in Norway has been steadily rising throughout this year, Eurostat figures show.

In January the number stood at just 570 but in October, the most recent month recorded, the total hit 8,575.

The Norwegian government is paying asylum seekers to return to their home countries as the refugee crisis continues.

The immigration department’s return unit (UDI) figures show more than 900 people have applied to take financial support to leave Norway so far.

2843
Serious / Re: Fraction of a fraction
« on: December 14, 2015, 12:50:25 PM »
lol

''For DAESH''

really screams 'I swear allegiance to this group and i am prepared to die for ISIS'

He would have been better off claiming the guy screamed allahu akbar tbh
And why would a dude scream "Daesh" if it's derogatory towards ISIS, anyway?
They actually don't care all that much; they use "Daesh" self-referentially in their official newsmagazine.

2844
Serious / Re: "Islamic extremism is created by the U.S."
« on: December 13, 2015, 11:02:02 AM »
ITT: "Foreign invasions have had no effect on local militias rising to fight said foreign invaders"

Seriously, do you people even listen to yourselves when you talk?

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Actually, I can. In Palestine, the effect of Palestinian deaths on support for Hamas is statistically insignificant, and the number of Palestinians supporting strikes against Israel has fallen dramatically since the Gaza War. And, at least in the case of Palestine, causality is strongly heading in the direction of Israeli casualties leading to Palestinian casualties, and not vice versa.

In Yemen specifically, there has never been a year since 2009 in which civilian casualties outnumber and, with the exception of 2010, none of them have civilian deaths as high as 50pc of insurgent deaths.

In Iraq, just 12pc of the 92,000 civilian deaths were caused by Coalition forces.

To come onto drones specifically though, it seems they have the opposite effect to what you claim: being associated with decreases in the frequencies of terrorist attacks, specifically with decreases in IEDs and suicide bombings. Even unsuccessful drone strikes are associated with these effects, demonstrating a rather effective deterrent channel.

Of course, I'm not saying it has no effect. . . It's just a fucking weak argument.

2845
Serious / Re: "Islamic extremism is created by the U.S."
« on: December 13, 2015, 08:55:46 AM »
How many times do we have to have this thread?
Until the pussies, relativists and masochists of the West understand it.

2846
Serious / On the value of tradition
« on: December 13, 2015, 08:33:49 AM »
The Future Primaeval

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An argument for traditions:

The space of possible human cultural practices is large.

The subspace of 1 which is well tuned, robust, compatible with human flourishing, and generally good is small.

Humans generally have limited ability to distinguish between good cultural practices and bad ones without direct experience.

Therefore, by 1, 2, and 3, cultural practices constructed ex-nihilo are not likely to be good.

Given experience with a specific bad cultural practice, humans are generally able to critique it and improve upon it.

Given experience with a specific good cultural practice, humans will generally believe it to be good.

Barring cultural shocks, humans will mostly successfully pass on to their descendants those cultural practices which they believe to be good.

Therefore, by 5, 6, and 7, barring cultural shocks, bad cultural practices that cause specific bad experience will tend to wipe themselves out across generations.

Therefore, by 3, 4, and 8, a mature and established cultural practice is likely to be better than a new one, in ways that are not obvious before experience.

Therefore, by 9, we should bias our lifestyles towards mature cultural practices, and away from newly invented ones, even sometimes against our own judgement. QED

This is a structured argument. The premises and inferences are all made explicit, labeled, and stripped of confusing rhetorical device. This lends an appearance of formality, but we have to be careful to not mistake this kind of argument for a formal proof. It's not. Any one of the premises might be nonsense, and any of the inferences may not follow. Arguments cast in this form are often presented as being inescapable logic, when they are just as often incoherent nonsense. The above argument is not inherently all that different from the more compact "traditions have proved themselves over the generations, so are more likely to be good than newly made up practices", just taken apart and labeled for easy reference and analysis.

For example, instead of a vague sense of "that doesn't quite make sense", the structured form invites the criticism that "#3 was true in the past, but the modern intellectual environment makes us more able to design cultural practices than our predecessors". We may then proceed to restructure the argument to see what that actually implies, or to argue whether that is actually true. I don't think it is true, but at least we have a more specific disagreement.

Note that if we disbelieve #3, that does not imply a simple "humans are naturally good at cultural design", but includes all statements that contradict the premise as given, including the above more nuanced objection, and "that whole way of framing it is stupid or otherwise misguided". This is again something to watch out for; the implicit frame of the premises is part of the argument that needs to be justified like the rest. This is often ignored or papered over by people trying to convince you of something.

The other thing to note is that you should not (and won't) find the above structured argument fully convincing on its own. It's deceptively phrased as a proof, but even if sound, it's not a proof. It's only one argument and one line of evidence of what should be many. It should cause a small update, possibly inspire some other lines of reasoning, and help contextualize later evidence in this direction, but not much more.

With a few caveats like the above, I think structured arguments like this are a valuable way to communicate arguments among sincere collaborators, though obviously most useful for disagreements and uncertainty. When you share most of your models, the compact form usually communicates the new idea more efficiently. But if you're going to argue about it, or check your work in more detail to make sure it makes real sense, a structured argument like the above is helpful. A structured argument is for when extra clarity is required.

The example argument above is the culmination of arguments I've about tradition with rationalists of the constructivist "but I don't see any reason not to tear down the Patriarchy and eliminate gender" variety. I hope the structured argument helps them to understand part of my reasoning. In future posts, we will explore the other empirical and theoretical justifications for specific traditions, and tradition in general.

2847
Serious / Re: I went to Church today.
« on: December 13, 2015, 03:48:29 AM »
I haven't been to church in 6 years. I don't really miss it, but there was this girl there who was my age that was hawt af. Too bad she got pregnant.
So this chick was six-and-a-half?

2848
Serious / Re: Another thread about suicide
« on: December 13, 2015, 03:07:15 AM »
I remember having depression and coming home from college.

I'd just lie in my bed for several hours and stare at the ceiling. My record was around eight hours straight staring at the ceiling. I could no longer tell the time, for some reason, and my internal clock was broken. I wondered about killing myself. Then I tried. Twice. Obviously, I failed.

I'm glad I failed.

2849
Serious / Re: "Islamic extremism is created by the U.S."
« on: December 12, 2015, 10:39:20 PM »
You can't tell me some random drone strike in Yemen that kills someone's family entire family one day when they're out on the market, wouldn't help contribute to it.
Actually, I can. In Palestine, the effect of Palestinian deaths on support for Hamas is statistically insignificant, and the number of Palestinians supporting strikes against Israel has fallen dramatically since the Gaza War. And, at least in the case of Palestine, causality is strongly heading in the direction of Israeli casualties leading to Palestinian casualties, and not vice versa.

In Yemen specifically, there has never been a year since 2009 in which civilian casualties outnumber and, with the exception of 2010, none of them have civilian deaths as high as 50pc of insurgent deaths.

In Iraq, just 12pc of the 92,000 civilian deaths were caused by Coalition forces.

To come onto drones specifically though, it seems they have the opposite effect to what you claim: being associated with decreases in the frequencies of terrorist attacks, specifically with decreases in IEDs and suicide bombings. Even unsuccessful drone strikes are associated with these effects, demonstrating a rather effective deterrent channel.

Of course, I'm not saying it has no effect. . . It's just a fucking weak argument.


2850
Serious / Re: "Islamic extremism is created by the U.S."
« on: December 12, 2015, 10:15:44 PM »
There is no "one" answer to why terrorism happens over there.
This is just as bad as the people who rhetorically claim it's entirely about foreign policy, or people hating us for our freedom or whatever.

The fact that no single factor will ever be the only cause of Islamic extremism is a totally uninteresting and unenlightening observation to make; pretty much nobody would substantially argue against that. The question is to what extent do factors like foreign policy, culture, domestic issues etc. affect the prevalence of Islamic terrorism.

The answer, at least for the first, is "not a lot".

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