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Messages - More Than Mortal

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10681
The president chooses the Chair and the board, so ultimately he's more powerful. In practice the president can act on his authority without needing the approval of a board.
Just seems like an unnecessary regression to be honest, especially given the reciprocal power of the Chair to influence presidential elections.

If I give you a gun out of a line-up of people, I may have bestowed that power upon you but, ultimately, it still leaves you in a position of more power relative to me.

10682
Serious / Re: SCOTUS Case to Test Limits of Free Speech on Social Media
« on: November 24, 2014, 10:01:08 AM »
Not you guys, too.

So, you're saying there shouldn't be a limit?
If somebody's making specific threats to another individual, then that's the limit.

Professing Nazism, however, or Islamism shouldn't be a criminal offence. Just look at the new Extremism Disruption Orders in this country, whose criteria could condemn an incredibly mild group of socialists, merely because they don't believe in democracy.

10683
Serious / Re: SCOTUS Case to Test Limits of Free Speech on Social Media
« on: November 24, 2014, 09:46:25 AM »
Not you guys, too.

10684
I'll believe it when it can power a combustion engine.

10685
Serious / Re: How do feminists feel...
« on: November 24, 2014, 09:43:34 AM »
There are obviously feminist cheerleaders, just like there are feminist strippers and nudist. Their body "empowers" them.

Much to the distaste of the uptight feminists, who want nothing more for women to engage in the same careerism that men do.

Fuck them all.

10686
Serious / Re: Help me figure out this problem
« on: November 24, 2014, 09:42:19 AM »
I guess the next question to ask is if this is something to be up in arms about, or if we should be happy with it. Are these masterminds trying to benefit the country or just themselves?
A bit of technocracy is always good.

There are important differences between the parties, that's for sure, and they'll have important impacts - especially since the break-up of the Solid South. However, there's nothing essentially game-changing. I mean, let's be honest, the real governing body is the bureaucracy and, alongside that, the Federal Reserve.

It isn't too bad an arrangement, although a bit more of the (genuine) democratic process wouldn't necessarily go amiss.

10687
This thread is just asking for a certain happy merchant man to appear >_>
Eh?

10688
Serious / Who's more powerful, the Chairman of the Fed or the President?
« on: November 24, 2014, 01:54:21 AM »
I was thinking the other day that, besides Romney's utter idiocy, Obama practically owes his second term to Ben Bernanke and even then the election only had a difference of about five million in the popular vote.

Regardless of specifics, if you agree that the state of the economy can count either for or against a president, then it'd seem the Chair of the Fed has a lot of influence on that. And, during terms, too, despite being appointed, the power of the economy is still quite substantial.

I suppose it depends how powerful you think monetary policy is.

10689
Serious / Re: Help me figure out this problem
« on: November 24, 2014, 01:44:05 AM »
It's not rigged.

It's just pre-determined.

10690
Serious / Re: Are the water wars coming?
« on: November 23, 2014, 05:03:18 PM »
Turns out co-operation is actually more likely than war. Water conflicts arise from other social issues.

However, while international conflicts are increasingly less-likely, intranational conflicts could arise.

10691
The Flood / Re: WADS OUT FOR THE LADIES
« on: November 23, 2014, 04:20:24 PM »
But watch actual spam threads not get locked.
Apply cream to burned area

10692
The Flood / WADS OUT FOR THE LADIES
« on: November 23, 2014, 04:17:23 PM »
YouTube

WOP IT OUT

10693
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 03:51:47 PM »
isn't the ability to choose free will?
Some compatibilists would say so, but I don't think that's a very significant definition. Free will, properly defined, is the ability to choose without constraint. This is fundamentally undermined when you realise you aren't in control of your capacity to choose.

Think of it like this: you can choose to act on your will, but you can't choose your will. The choices you make, and the autonomy you exercise, will always be part of this determined stream.

10694
The Flood / Re: Combine your username with other users. Post the results.
« on: November 23, 2014, 03:46:07 PM »
Rocket Cognition.

10695
The Flood / Re: More racist comments from grandma
« on: November 23, 2014, 03:43:46 PM »
Does your grandmother use the N word?
she just said nig nog

10696
The Flood / Re: Unlock the thread
« on: November 23, 2014, 03:43:25 PM »
Just fucking ban him again.

10697
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 03:38:58 PM »
restricted free will is still free will. not being god doesn't make us unable to alter our world.
Again, that's not metaphysically significant.

I never said people can't make choices.

10698
The Flood / More racist comments from grandma
« on: November 23, 2014, 03:34:02 PM »
>watching im a celebrity
>black rapper doesn't want to get in the pool
>grandma "he's a dirty devil, isn't he"
>pause
>she laughs
>"well you can't tell if he's dirty or clean, can you?"

fucking hell

10699
Serious / What caused the Great Moderation?
« on: November 23, 2014, 02:45:52 PM »
TIL: economics has a lot of "great" events.



For those of you that don't know, the Great Moderation was a period from around 1984 to 2007 during which macroeconomic volatility (the business cycle) was practically tamed. There are about three mainstream explanations, and one more heterodox explanation. Since I'm biased, I'll outline all four and then let you choose.

The first is simply luck, which essentially says that any shocks to the economy were simply less severe by chance.

The second is the structure of the economy, which states the nature of the economy (improved technology, shift to service-based employment) was better at absorbing any shocks which did occur.

These two explanations have been largely been discarded, however, and there remains just a single mainstream one which is truly considered viable (by economists) any more. The Taylor Principle, which is that as inflation expectations rose, the Fed raised interest rates more than expectations. For instance, if inflation expectations rise to 1pc above the goal, the Fed would raise the nominal interest rate to >1pc, thus raising the real interest rate. This is essentially how Volcker broke inflation in the 1970s. This works, essentially, by impeding the velocity of money and slowing the creation of money which occurs in the banking system.

The last, less mainstream explanation, is that the Federal Reserve - towards the end of Volcker's tenure and during Greenspan's - was targeting nominal income, which is just the total spending in the economy, or aggregate demand. The idea is that with nominal income stabilised, demand shocks (where nominal income/total spending falls sharply) didn't occur and thus recessions (like that in 1991) were a lot milder. This seems to be supported by this quote by Greenspan: "I’m basically arguing that we are really in a sense using [unintelligible] a nominal GDP goal of which the money supply relationships are technical mechanisms to achieve that."

So, based on those explanations, which do you think?


10700
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 02:24:53 PM »
But we're still choosing aren't we?
Yes, you merely can't choose to choose. Choice is a necessary part of human life, as lying in bed all day doing fuck all is still a choice. It's merely that your choices are necessarily part of this determined stream.

So what if I didn't answer the question?
You can't not answer the question. Even if you didn't tell me, a city would've come to mind by my mere prompt.

10701
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 02:14:02 PM »
But we're still choosing aren't we?
Yes, you merely can't choose to choose. Choice is a necessary part of human life, as lying in bed all day doing fuck all is still a choice. It's merely that your choices are necessarily part of this determined stream.

10702
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 02:12:42 PM »
what a retarded ass way to view free will.
Not really. Compatibilists often use a definition for "free will" which isn't qualitatively different from "autonomy". The only metaphysically meaningful definition of free will that really exists is the ability to act completely without circumstantial restraint, necessity or fate, which is demonstrably false.

10703
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 02:08:06 PM »
So what you're saying is that I only though of New York because I was reminded of it?

I didn't actually go through a list of all cities and pick it?

Pls be gentle I'm just trying to understand.
Not that you were reminded of it, per se, as that would imply something exogenous was there to remind you (which could very well have been the case), merely that you could only choose to pick it because it occurred to you, essentially, by chance. It throws free will up into the air when the only options we can ever access are there, oftentimes, by mechanisms beyond our conscious control.

10704
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 02:01:33 PM »
have you only just thought of Cairo now that I've mentioned it?
Um... yeah?
Do you make a habit of only reading the last half of sentences?

I was asking him if he'd thought of Cairo in response to the initial question, or whether my mentioning of Cairo was the first instance it had occurred to him; Ruler managed to answer the question well enough.

10705
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 01:54:15 PM »
I'm not sure what this has to do with free will...
In order to have free will, you quite literally need to think of something before you think of it. The nature of consciousness means you are not free to choose that which didn't happen to occur to you.

When you pay attention to how thoughts, desires and intentions arise in consciousness, it becomes patently clear that choice is incredibly restricted and not in one's own control. You're not controlling the storm, and you're not lost in it - you are the storm.

10706
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 01:48:52 PM »
Mind explaining it?
Think of a city, and then tell me the name of the city you thought of.

New york
When you were choosing which city to name, did Cairo pop into your head? Or have you only just thought of Cairo now that I've mentioned it?

10707
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 01:39:27 PM »
Mind explaining it?
Think of a city, and then tell me the name of the city you thought of.

10708
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 01:23:27 PM »
A collection of people living together.
Are you being facetious, or did you not understand the question?

10709
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 01:20:14 PM »
City-soul analogy?
Isn't that to do with morality?

10710
Serious / Re: Scientific contradictions
« on: November 23, 2014, 01:18:08 PM »
Think of a city, and then tell me what it is. Change your mind as much as you like.

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