So I thought it might be fun to post some of these made here:

• I tried to make this list with 90% likeliness in mind, and 10% personal bias in mind (or how much I want them). Therefore, if a character is ranked high, that doesn't necessarily mean that I want them, and if a character is ranked low, that doesn't necessarily mean that I don't want them.
• That being said, I'm perfectly satisfied with the game's roster as it is. There are no more characters who I think "need" to be in Smash at this point, not counting the ones that have already been deconfirmed.
• On this tier list, I personally added the "All but confirmed" tier. They were not present on the original graph, but I added them in because there are some characters that, in my opinion, aren't even on the table of discussion when it comes to DLC speculation. "All but confirmed" refers exclusively to Erdrick, because there's a copious wealth of evidence to support his inclusion, and I'm personally on board with the idea, even if it's a boring and relatively unhype choice for anyone who doesn't give a fuck about Dragon Quest.
• I have also added the "Soft Deconfirmed" tier. This includes any character who has already been represented with a Spirit (such as Geno), Mii Costume (such as Tails), background stage element (such as Pauline—not listed here, but she would be an example), or (in the specific case of Heihachi Mishima) referenced in Pac-Man's Namco Roulette taunt. I consider these representations to "softly" deconfirm characters, because I don't know if they completely shut out their chances, but I find myself personally dissuaded from putting any money on them. Technically, there have been instances where Mii Costume characters have become playable later on, such as King K. Rool, but that was between Smash 4 and Ultimate. Any instance of a new-in-Ultimate Mii Costume character becoming playable later have yet to be seen. On the other hand, Ultimate is still missing plenty of character costumes from Smash 4, such as the Monster Hunter outfits, which could raise their odds of becoming playable ever so slightly.
• This particular tier list contained no characters who belonged in a "Hard Deconfirmed" tier, in my opinion, so there was no need to make one, but I'll explain what I think that means anyway. A "hard" deconfirmation (by my measurement) would involve any character that can already be found in an Assist Trophy (such as Waluigi), Poké Ball (such as Mimikyu), or as a boss (such as Marx). These characters, in my opinion, have absolutely no chance to be playable whether anyone likes it or not. While it's true that some Assist Trophies have become characters later on, like Little Mac and Isabelle, that was between two different games. An Assist Trophy has never been simultaneously playable in the same game, and I really do think of it as a "kiss of death" for your character's chances.
• Each character is meticulously ordered within each tier. Lloyd Irving is more likely than Travis Touchdown, who is more likely than Klonoa, etc. For the "Soft Deconfirmed" characters, I ordered them in terms of how much I personally would like to see them in Smash. So, even though I think Geno, Raiden, and Dixie Kong have a very low chance to be in the game, I still think it would be cool if they somehow got in. Conversely, the characters placed furthest to the right are characters I want nothing to do with, including Kamek, Fawful, and the Chorus Kids. Not only are these characters deconfirmed, in my opinion, they're also not even good ideas to begin with.
• Currently, I'm of the opinion that the DLC characters are going to be comprised entirely of third party "guest" fighters. I place first party characters at an inherent disadvantage.
• S-tier is empty because I don't want to give the impression that I think any one character is guaranteed to be in the game unless we have substantial evidence for it, and because I don't particularly want or care for any of the characters that I placed in A-tier. Banjo (& Kazooie) is the one character I absolutely expect to be in the game, but I could still see it not happening for one reason or another. He definitely has the highest chance, though.
• The remaining A-tiers—Sora, Dante, Rayman, and Shantae—all have a decent shot, in my opinion. I have no personal attachments to any of their respective franchises; they just seem like good candidates to me, and good "fits" for Smash in general.
• B-tier comprises characters that I think would be good ideas, but are FAR less likely than those found in A-tier. Klonoa is the only character who I have personal attachments with here, and if I'm honest, I probably should've placed him in C-tier. He's basically not happening and represents the 10% of personal bias that I had mentioned earlier. I think he would be a cool pick as someone who loves his games, and he wouldn't even necessarily be that out of place. The main issues are that he's not relevant, and he's not far enough in the past to be considered a "classic" gaming icon in the way that Ryu Hayabusa is.
• Speaking of, Ryu would be a great choice, but the problem is that we already have a character named "Ryu" in the game, which makes things kind of awkward. It's true that we have two Roys, if you count the alternates of Bowser Jr, but I think that's a very unique case. It would be different if Roy Koopa was the base character, but he's not. So that's Ryu Hayabusa's main problem.
• Lloyd Irving and the Monster Hunter both have the benefit of not having their Smash 4 costumes in the game as of yet, which boosts their chances ever so slightly in my opinion. They're also both from relatively big franchises, and are both decently popular. I can't see them generating too much in the way of hype, though. We already have so many sword-wielding characters as it is.
• C-tier involves characters that I straight-up do not see happening, personally, but I can concede that they have a tiny chance. The problem with Crash and Spyro is that, in my opinion, you cannot have a crossover fighting game without having them BOTH in the game. You can't just have one or the other, but to have two DLC slots spent on these two guys? I just don't see it happening. Plus, it would just be kinda lame. I think these characters belong in the past.
• Black Mage and Crono are both potential Square reps if Erdrick ends up not being the one. I don't have my money on them, but they wouldn't be bad choices or anything.
• Viewtiful Joe, Amaterasu, and Phoenix Wright have all been playable in Marvel vs. Capcom 3, so the notion of them coming to another fighting game doesn't seem completely out of the question to me. But I'm not expecting them.
• Rash from Battletoads would just be kinda cool, in my opinion. Otherwise, he has no chance.
• Quote from Cave Story wouldn't be that cool or hype, as far as I'm concerned, but in terms of representing indie games, I guess you couldn't go wrong with representing the first-ever breakthrough indie success, and arguably the most important indie game ever made.
• Euden from Dragalia Lost would be boring, stupid, and unhype, but I don't think his chances are below 1%.
• A Pokémon from Generation VIII would not be remarkably exciting from my point of view, and it doesn't seem all that likely to me anyway. It depends on a lot of factors we know nothing about, and I was on the fence about even placing this one.
• D-tier is reserved for characters who have less than a 1% chance of making it, in my opinion, as well as for all the really fucking dumb ideas. Occasionally, I'll throw in a character who I just really, really, really don't want, like Bandana Waddle Dee, because that would just be so fucking lame, or Edelgard from the as-of-yet unreleased Fire Emblem: Three Houses, simply because we have too many Fire Emblem shits. Their chances are higher than 1%, but I just don't care because of how stupid they would be.
• I used to have Porky a little higher up, mainly because 1.) he doesn't have a Spirit, and 2.) he's not a boss, despite being a boss in Brawl. However, based on the fact that he's still a Nintendo first party, I had to knock him down a bit. He's still the highest in the tier, though, for those two reasons. It just seems suspect to me that he has no presence in the game whatsoever, especially since the 30th anniversary of the Mother franchise is coming up this year. It seems plausible to me that if he were to become a character, they could also announce a Mother collection, which would be the perfect excuse to finally localize Mother 3. I'm not holding my breath, but that would be fucking dope, and I think the pieces all fit together kinda nicely.
• I don't think anyone else in D-tier is worth entertaining the thought of, really.

Might post more of these.

Sleeper - Smart
Britpop
Debut album

I only know these guys for their cover of Blondie's "Atomic" from Trainspotting, which is a fantastic cover, but this album was made well before that cover was recorded, so I can't say my expectations for this record were too high.

It's decent. It's an unfortunate case where the opening track is the best track, so every song that follows doesn't quite live up to it. None of the songs are bad, but nonetheless, it's a record that leaves me feeling a little cold.

6/10

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Seefeel - Succour
Ambient IDM
Sophomore album

Here's an interesting one by post-rock pioneers Seefeel.

Not for the impatient, this record is essentially a collection of these simple, sorta-catchy-but-also-kinda-unnerving minimalist ambient beats that loop incessantly with very little (if anything) in the way of instrumental build-up, often stretched beyond the 6-minute mark, which (as far as I'm concerned) encourages listeners to just zone out and feel whatever they end up feeling, or picture whatever they end up picturing.

If you make it a few minutes in, and your visceral reaction is, "What the fuck is this shit?" then that probably either means that the album straight-up isn't for you, or you may not be in the right mood to listen to this kind of music. If, for example, you're feeling particularly sullen or pensive about life, I've found that it suits these moods rather well. Otherwise, it'll probably sound like the musical equivalent of wallpaper.

Because of how skeletal each and every track is, however, there's really not much else I can really say about it. If you do end up giving it a shot, though, just don't expect anything conventional.

7/10

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Ned's Atomic Dustbin - Brainbloodvolume
Alternative rock
Final album

Here's an English band with a mildly interesting attribute: they have two bass players, one who plays the low tones, and one who players higher up on the scale. I liked their first two albums just fine, but their sound seemed a little too frenetic and upbeat for my tastes. The music they make is considered "grebo," which I had to look up. Wikipedia describes it as a crazy combination of punk, EDM, hip hop, and psychedelia.

With the possible exception of hip hop, I can definitely hear all of those genres on Brainbloodvolume, and while the experiments don't always result in something that sounds great, it actually does occur on this record far more often than it does not.

In spite of what the cover may suggest, this is a very colorful, punchy, and exciting rock album. Yet, it's also very straightforward in a way that I find very refreshing. Some of the stickiest grooves I've ever heard (at least, within the confines of this project) can be found on this record, and I'm still revisiting some of my favorite cuts well after my first listen. I'd check it out if I were you.


8/10

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The Tea Party - The Edges of Twilight
Progressive blues?
Third album

I think this is a great record, too, and I'm about to give it a strong recommendation as well, but it comes with a couple of asterisks tacked on, because this is a band that loves to wear their influences on the sleeve. Similar to a Greta Van Fleet, their early work sounds a LOT like a more bluesy Led Zeppelin if Jim Morrison was their lead singer instead (or maybe Sully Erna, depending on the song), and your ability to tolerate that sort of thing will probably inform how much you'll tolerate the band's work.

This record in particular was made partly as a reaction to that very criticism, where they do try to employ a lot of Middle Eastern instruments and other influences of world music into their sound. I think, for the most part, it pays off.

However, there are moments where it seems like they're overcompensating for their lack of originality a bit, and there's at least two moments where a ballad latches onto a nice mood or atmosphere, maybe with some unique-sounding instruments, only for them to fuck it up by injecting some ill-fitting blues rock hook with some overwrought crooning into the mix (like in the song "Correspondence," or "Turn the Lamp Down Low"), which rarely does anything but ruin the song for me.

"Ruin" might be a strong word, actually, but I do honestly think that the songs would be improved if you took out the cheesy blues breakdowns in the chorus. They just don't feel like they belong.

However, you still have a lot of genuinely great cuts on the record that exhibit not only great overall musicianship, but offer enough world influence and general artistic pomp to make you feel smart and cultured for listening to it. I rather adore "The Badger" as an instrumental cut, for example. "Shadows on the Mountainside" and "Inanna" are awesome, too, with the latter being my favorite song on the album, and all the remaining tracks are pretty solid, as well, especially "Fire in the Head," "The Bazaar," and "Silence."

There's not a bad song on the album, really. There are just some ideas that work well and some that don't, similar to the previously-discussed Brainbloodvolume. Only here, the ideas work a little bit less often.

Overall, this is a difficult one for me to rate. I won't give it a 7/10, but know that I'm not trying to put it up on the same level as the Swans record, or even the Ned's Atomic Dustbin record. It's teetering on the edge, but I think it has JUST enough to merit an 8/10. I might even change my mind later, but that's what I'm sticking with for now.


8/10

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Monster Magnet - Dopes to Infinity
Stoner rock
Third album

I want to dislike this album more than I do, just because I normally hate this genre, and Dopes to Infinity is probably the stupidest album title ever. One of its songs is also the namesake of Negasonic Teenage Warhead, who may not a lame character in and of herself, but she DOES make me think of those horrible Deadpool movies, which I fucking despise. So, basically everything about this album gives me really bad vibes.

In spite of my prejudice, though, it's not actually bad at all. It's pretty good if you like super heavy and super sludgy spaced-out rock music that's made for people who smoke pot religiously, and the more I relisten to some of the better tracks on it, the more difficult it becomes to deny that fact. There were multiple times where I was thinking to myself, "Okay, fine, that was a pretty good song," and it wasn't before long that those moments added up until I simply couldn't deny that I had just listened to a pretty good record. Especially after I heard the song "Ego the Living Planet," another song title with Marvel comic connections. I love any song that's able to turn decidedly unmusical things (like bloodcurdling screams of agony) into something distinctly musical.

You can't force me to keep saying nice things about it, though.


7/10

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Next up:

Blessid Union of Souls
Railroad Jerk
Death
Morphine
Headstones

Elton John, too, if he didn't have a billion albums.

Nice map, Verb.

aaahahahahahahahaha

yeah the guy was being petty and all, but i really hate professors that don't understand the concept that their students are the ones paying for the courses, so they are by no means obligated in any way to even show up, let alone stick around for the entire class

is it a bad decision? yeah probably, but they're entitled to it since they're paying for it

anyway, the last rude person i saw was someone on my bus who was getting a little lippy with the driver for something that nobody had any control over, and it was a little obnoxious because that driver is REALLY nice and does the best she can

Wow thus update fucking sucks

we have a genuinely good stage builder, the ability to share and post them, and the ability to actually play them online with our friends in arenas

joker is cool as hell and so is his stage (not that i've played as him because i don't buy DLC anymore, but my friends have and he's pretty fun to fight)

looking pretty good to me in spite of the boring patch notes and mii costume microtransaction cancer

https://en-americas-support.nintendo.com/app/answers/detail/a_id/45075

Patch notes

everyone i play has been untouched for the most part

Quote from: Verbatim on April 17, 2019, 11:06:53 AM

Quote from: CMD.exe on April 17, 2019, 10:50:33 AM

I think you massively misunderstand what kinds of shows and games I actually like.

i understand your behavior though

plus everything that you do enjoy in terms of anime and other heavily japanese media tends to defy reason

explain

you like fate, for fuck's sake

i've always just described it as pokémon for edgelord weebs

it triggers fans to say that, which is how i know it's 100% accurate

it's one of those things that CMD would love to bits in the closet for a while, pretending to hate it, before openly embracing it as he realizes how neat it actually is beyond the surface and how difficult it is to lie to yourself about it

it's a cool series from what i can tell (i've only played the first game, which is bad, but i have reason to believe it gets much better), but i know all too well what it's like to think something looks like garbage on the surface

Quote from: Verbatim on April 16, 2019, 05:20:51 PM

Quote from: DAS B00T x2 on April 16, 2019, 05:15:36 PM

y'all motherfuckers have clearly never sat through a bunch of pretentious art festival films before

have you ever seen Martyrs

Nah.

oh my god watch it

gotta watch the french version though

I'm leaning towards Sobble, but, as always, I'm gonna wait until the final evolutions are revealed before I choose.

i'm always conflicted about stuff like this, because on one hand, i'm obviously gonna do the same thing

but i also have this desire to play the games totally blind and try to recapture how i felt playing these games as a kid, knowing absolutely nothing, and having a genuine surprise not only what my team evolves into, but when they evolve and all that jazz

but the internet makes it super hard to go into anything blind these days

Quote from: Verbatim on April 16, 2019, 11:06:09 AM

this thread is evidence that you haven't learned shit though

in part 3 you're probably gonna have jon the hobo meth dealer fuck your ass, which i'm surprised hadn't happened already

in part 7 you're probably gonna get double penetrated by him and his dog, but instead of for meth, it'll be for his jenkum

How so? I didn't do drugs I wouldn't have done at home, and in fact did nothing wrong at all, except for the stealing. Hate to break it to you dude - choosing to give a guy a blowjob is not an immoral act. I know you're sexually repressed as hell - my mom just realized after a long talk with me that she's probably asexual,  by the way - but that's no excuse for imposing a judgment onto something you have absolutely no grounds to judge on.

I've done my fair share of immoral acts, and most of them happened long ago when my age still started with a 1. But being sexually liberated is not one of those.

so i'm right then

the following message is being posted with the knowledge that this is all an ARG; i'm just playing along because that's the point

here is my belated response to a question you asked me a month ago:

Don't you notice a change in me at all?

No

your whole life story thus far kinda reminds me of 177013 (not that you know what that is), and i hope it continues to develop and end in a similar fashion for you, because it's what you deserve

knowing that i could never possibly sink this low in life puts me on a higher plateau than you've ever experienced on DXM

Neds atomic dustbin is p cool fam

you right

Quote from: Verbatim on April 14, 2019, 10:06:38 PM

i actually have it all worked out



not doing the other gens though because fuck that

Imagine how useful this human life could've been if it had been awarded to some entity worth granting existence on the material plane to.

Then look at this autistic Pokémon picture and think to yourself, wondering not only how much time it took to complete this task, but how much devotion over the course of this being's life was wasted doing this in inconsequential thing that nobody cares about.

Maybe he did it just to prove a point about the fruit of extinction? Nonetheless, any effort this being makes is misguided, and should be ignored as idiocy treated as doctrine.

maybe i will do all 800 now