We'll probably experience the technological singularity.

Lord Starch | Ascended Posting Rampage
 
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Some of yall probably know this, but anyway using the concept of Moore's law which states computer technology doubles every 2 years, people have calculated that given the average estimates, we'll have reached the singularity by 2040. Unless you die by some accident or disease, you'll probably be around then. Thoughts?


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I'm quite sure that we are not on par with those expectations.
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Last Edit: August 24, 2015, 03:12:35 PM by Vien


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"With the first link, the chain is forged. The first speech censured, the first thought forbidden, the first freedom denied, chains us all irrevocably."
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What does that mean?


 
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Define technological singularity?


 
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Lord Starch | Ascended Posting Rampage
 
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Moore's law will be broken soon anyway so it doesn't matter. The whole technological singularity thing is pretty much bullshit.
All I can really say is we'll see. I find it a little optimistic, but think about the technology at the time you were maybe 8 or 10, then compare it to now. Once they crack quantum computing it might be a wrap.


 
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Moore's law will be broken soon anyway so it doesn't matter. The whole technological singularity thing is pretty much bullshit.
All I can really say is we'll see. I find it a little optimistic, but think about the technology at the time you were maybe 8 or 10, then compare it to now. Once they crack quantum computing it might be a wrap.
Everyone thinks the development of an AGI is all flowers and rainbows but that could potentially be the ends of us. No one really knows how an AI that is intelligent beyond our capabilities is going to react to humanity, who would be just a bacteria to them. I believe most movies are accurate on that portrayal of AGIs and they'll most likely wipe us out or fuck off because of a lack of interest in us. I don't see a healthy stable relationship between humans and AGIs.
I think most people question the morality and implications of a strong AI. Intelligence and sentience that could exceed a humans is incomprehensible and has unknown consequences, but it will no doubt have some revolutionary applications. But we have to address that it's not a matter of if it'll happen, but when. 
And to address them wiping us out, I'll just look at it from a logical perspective. A non biological intelligence with the ability to improve itself will probably figure out it has some superior qualities. But who knows.


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ayy lmao
this shit is so stupid, stop


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This kind of stuff reminds me of I have no mouth and I must scream


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That's not what Moore's Law is. It's the amount of transistors in a single chip that doubles every two years, and yes as we get below 7nm we've run into trouble with just how small we can make it because as dies get smaller the failure rate goes way up.


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That's not what Moore's Law is. It's the amount of transistors in a single chip that doubles every two years, and yes as we get below 7nm we've run into trouble with just how small we can make it because as dies get smaller the failure rate goes way up.
It's essentially the same concept. Doubling of transistors would result in improved computational power. Also they've already delved into molecular computing and got a quantum computer to calculate 3*5. Eventually conventional electronics and circutry will be obsolete.


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Oh boy, the rise of the Matrix and Skynet is just around the corner


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this shit is so stupid, stop
Nope. http://library.fora.tv/2012/10/14/Stuart_Armstrong_How_Were_Predicting_AI
okay

this shit is still fucking stupid, stop
Small minds can't comprehend a paradigm shift.
rc is one of the smartest users here
Doesn't look like it from where I'm sitting.
based on two posts in this thread?

okay then
Repeating something is stupid, which isn't actually stupid, doesn't hint at much intellect. Please go away now so we don't derail. 👋🏽


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I'll be an old fuck by then


 
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If you know, you know.
It did slow down though. We are getting close unless something even smaller (but just as powerful) is found.