We'll probably experience the technological singularity.

Lord Starch · August 24, 2015, 03:09:58 PM

Some of yall probably know this, but anyway using the concept of Moore's law which states computer technology doubles every 2 years, people have calculated that given the average estimates, we'll have reached the singularity by 2040. Unless you die by some accident or disease, you'll probably be around then. Thoughts?

August 24, 2015, 03:11:27 PM

I'm quite sure that we are not on par with those expectations.

YouTube

Girl of Mystery · August 24, 2015, 03:12:17 PM

Chakas is already 50 though

August 24, 2015, 03:15:04 PM

What does that mean?

cxfhvxgkcf-56:7 · August 24, 2015, 03:15:29 PM

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gats · August 24, 2015, 03:19:23 PM

Define technological singularity?

cxfhvxgkcf-56:7 · August 24, 2015, 03:25:22 PM

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cxfhvxgkcf-56:7 · August 24, 2015, 03:28:34 PM

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Lord Starch · August 24, 2015, 03:32:53 PM

Quote from: SoporificSlash on August 24, 2015, 03:15:29 PM

Moore's law will be broken soon anyway so it doesn't matter. The whole technological singularity thing is pretty much bullshit.

All I can really say is we'll see. I find it a little optimistic, but think about the technology at the time you were maybe 8 or 10, then compare it to now. Once they crack quantum computing it might be a wrap.

cxfhvxgkcf-56:7 · August 24, 2015, 03:42:40 PM

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Lord Starch · August 24, 2015, 08:04:23 PM

Quote from: SoporificSlash on August 24, 2015, 03:42:40 PM

Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 03:32:53 PM
Quote from: SoporificSlash on August 24, 2015, 03:15:29 PM
Moore's law will be broken soon anyway so it doesn't matter. The whole technological singularity thing is pretty much bullshit.
All I can really say is we'll see. I find it a little optimistic, but think about the technology at the time you were maybe 8 or 10, then compare it to now. Once they crack quantum computing it might be a wrap.
Everyone thinks the development of an AGI is all flowers and rainbows but that could potentially be the ends of us. No one really knows how an AI that is intelligent beyond our capabilities is going to react to humanity, who would be just a bacteria to them. I believe most movies are accurate on that portrayal of AGIs and they'll most likely wipe us out or fuck off because of a lack of interest in us. I don't see a healthy stable relationship between humans and AGIs.

I think most people question the morality and implications of a strong AI. Intelligence and sentience that could exceed a humans is incomprehensible and has unknown consequences, but it will no doubt have some revolutionary applications. But we have to address that it's not a matter of if it'll happen, but when.
And to address them wiping us out, I'll just look at it from a logical perspective. A non biological intelligence with the ability to improve itself will probably figure out it has some superior qualities. But who knows.

Kitsune 狐 · August 24, 2015, 08:50:26 PM

Yesss legal bot hookers!!!

rC · August 24, 2015, 08:51:04 PM

this shit is so stupid, stop

Lord Starch · August 24, 2015, 09:32:06 PM

Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 08:51:04 PM

this shit is so stupid, stop

Nope. http://library.fora.tv/2012/10/14/Stuart_Armstrong_How_Were_Predicting_AI

R o c k e t · August 24, 2015, 09:51:16 PM

Quote from: Kitsunekun on August 24, 2015, 08:50:26 PM

Yesss legal bot hookers!!!

no thanks....

Ender · August 24, 2015, 10:06:44 PM

This kind of stuff reminds me of I have no mouth and I must scream

rC · August 24, 2015, 10:44:33 PM

Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 09:32:06 PM

Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 08:51:04 PM
this shit is so stupid, stop
Nope. http://library.fora.tv/2012/10/14/Stuart_Armstrong_How_Were_Predicting_AI

okay

this shit is still fucking stupid, stop

Batch · August 24, 2015, 11:02:31 PM

Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 10:44:33 PM

Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 09:32:06 PM
Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 08:51:04 PM
this shit is so stupid, stop
Nope. http://library.fora.tv/2012/10/14/Stuart_Armstrong_How_Were_Predicting_AI
okay

this shit is still fucking stupid, stop

Just dont reply autismo

Korra · August 24, 2015, 11:03:06 PM

Quote from: Kitsunekun on August 24, 2015, 08:50:26 PM

Yesss legal bot hookers!!!

no

stop it

Lord Starch · August 24, 2015, 11:47:51 PM

Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 10:44:33 PM

Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 09:32:06 PM
Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 08:51:04 PM
this shit is so stupid, stop
Nope. http://library.fora.tv/2012/10/14/Stuart_Armstrong_How_Were_Predicting_AI
okay

this shit is still fucking stupid, stop

Small minds can't comprehend a paradigm shift.

Septy · August 24, 2015, 11:51:45 PM

That's not what Moore's Law is. It's the amount of transistors in a single chip that doubles every two years, and yes as we get below 7nm we've run into trouble with just how small we can make it because as dies get smaller the failure rate goes way up.

Lord Starch · August 25, 2015, 12:18:48 AM

Quote from: Septy on August 24, 2015, 11:51:45 PM

That's not what Moore's Law is. It's the amount of transistors in a single chip that doubles every two years, and yes as we get below 7nm we've run into trouble with just how small we can make it because as dies get smaller the failure rate goes way up.

It's essentially the same concept. Doubling of transistors would result in improved computational power. Also they've already delved into molecular computing and got a quantum computer to calculate 3*5. Eventually conventional electronics and circutry will be obsolete.

Girl of Mystery · August 25, 2015, 12:35:24 AM

Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 11:47:51 PM

Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 10:44:33 PM
Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 09:32:06 PM
Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 08:51:04 PM
this shit is so stupid, stop
Nope. http://library.fora.tv/2012/10/14/Stuart_Armstrong_How_Were_Predicting_AI
okay

this shit is still fucking stupid, stop
Small minds can't comprehend a paradigm shift.

rc is one of the smartest users here

aREALgod · August 25, 2015, 01:19:38 AM

Oh boy, the rise of the Matrix and Skynet is just around the corner

Lord Starch · August 25, 2015, 02:02:54 AM

Quote from: Solid Lemon on August 25, 2015, 12:35:24 AM

Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 11:47:51 PM
Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 10:44:33 PM
Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 09:32:06 PM
Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 08:51:04 PM
this shit is so stupid, stop
Nope. http://library.fora.tv/2012/10/14/Stuart_Armstrong_How_Were_Predicting_AI
okay

this shit is still fucking stupid, stop
Small minds can't comprehend a paradigm shift.
rc is one of the smartest users here

Doesn't look like it from where I'm sitting.

Girl of Mystery · August 25, 2015, 02:06:15 AM

Quote from: Lord Starch on August 25, 2015, 02:02:54 AM

Quote from: Solid Lemon on August 25, 2015, 12:35:24 AM
Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 11:47:51 PM
Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 10:44:33 PM
Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 09:32:06 PM
Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 08:51:04 PM
this shit is so stupid, stop
Nope. http://library.fora.tv/2012/10/14/Stuart_Armstrong_How_Were_Predicting_AI
okay

this shit is still fucking stupid, stop
Small minds can't comprehend a paradigm shift.
rc is one of the smartest users here
Doesn't look like it from where I'm sitting.

based on two posts in this thread?

okay then

Lord Starch · August 25, 2015, 02:20:45 AM

Quote from: Solid Lemon on August 25, 2015, 02:06:15 AM

Quote from: Lord Starch on August 25, 2015, 02:02:54 AM
Quote from: Solid Lemon on August 25, 2015, 12:35:24 AM
Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 11:47:51 PM
Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 10:44:33 PM
Quote from: Lord Starch on August 24, 2015, 09:32:06 PM
Quote from: rc on August 24, 2015, 08:51:04 PM
this shit is so stupid, stop
Nope. http://library.fora.tv/2012/10/14/Stuart_Armstrong_How_Were_Predicting_AI
okay

this shit is still fucking stupid, stop
Small minds can't comprehend a paradigm shift.
rc is one of the smartest users here
Doesn't look like it from where I'm sitting.
based on two posts in this thread?

okay then

Repeating something is stupid, which isn't actually stupid, doesn't hint at much intellect. Please go away now so we don't derail. 👋🏽

Jester · August 25, 2015, 04:00:26 AM

I'll be an old fuck by then

cxfhvxgkcf-56:7 · August 25, 2015, 05:22:56 AM

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FatherlyNick - fuck putin · August 25, 2015, 05:42:50 AM

It did slow down though. We are getting close unless something even smaller (but just as powerful) is found.