Remember when the U.S. cut government spending by 35pc of GDP

 
More Than Mortal
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And thrived in the postwar economic boom.

The (still new) Conservative government is going to face five more years of people focusing on what looks to be rather mild austerity. We need an aphorism for a situation like this. Something like: "Concerns about austerity are concerns about monetary navigation".


 
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But Meta, think of the senior citizens. How will they live without Medicare and Social Security?


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To be fair, the cut in question was just returning spending to a normal, postwar level. I'll take a look at the rest of the paper after work.


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
To be fair, the cut in question was just returning spending to a normal, postwar level. I'll take a look at the rest of the paper after work.
Some economists at the time (who you could hesitatingly call Keynesian) argued that such a decline in spending would harm the economy nonetheless. I cite the paper for the magnitudes in question, not so much for its empirical strength; a much more interesting case is Canada in the 1990s who saw substantial growth following a 6pc fiscal adjustment. Impressive, and bigger than what the U.K. is currently undertaking.


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Didn't FDR reverse the Great Depression and revive the economy by massively increasing government spending which led to a booming economy even before the war?


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
Didn't FDR reverse the Great Depression and revive the economy by massively increasing government spending which led to a booming economy even before the war?
No.

Fiscal adjustments probably had some impact on the recovery, mainly through the expectations channel a la Eggertson (2008). However, the Depression (and all post-war business cycles) have seen their recoveries as a result of more expansionary monetary policy a la Romer (1994).

There's also a lot of crap with NIRA artificially raising nominal wages and extending the Depression as a result.


 
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Social Security is a cancer upon our economy and a testament to the government's lack of faith in the American people to wipe their own asses, and as far as I'm concerned if government spending was eliminated in that area we would be able to fund the government spending going on right now, without accumulating debt to China.

There's no reason to decrease the government's role in the economy as a major consumer, rather they need to slack off from a regulatory perspective and make changes to the market the same way everyone else does, by spending or refraining from spending.

The only way we would have the funds necessary for that without driving ourselves further in debt is to eliminate social security.


 
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Social Security is theft.


 
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