If you're not even willing to consider the possibility of Trump being benevolent

 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
Considering that conservatives tend to have the most incorrect opinions ever when it comes to economics, I'm very disinclined to believe anything a conservative has to say (and that goes for any subject--but especially economics).
Literally what dude

Most conservatives and liberals don't have a fucking clue about economic policy. And I mean that literally; Republicans and Democrats, in aggregate, agree with each other more than they agree with economists. It's a function of people not having the time or the inclination to study a pretty complex subject, not a function of ideology.

Now, I'll grant you that elements of the American Right have some pretty horrible ideas: non-revenue neutral tax cuts, auditing the Fed, returning to the gold standard etc. But I'm pretty sure you'd agree Turkey isn't a moron, and probably doesn't belong to these more fringe elements of the Right; he's actually pretty centrist on economic issues.

All of this being said, simply being told that a conservative is peddling a myth is not a good enough reason to assume that they are. From your response to Turkey, you clearly don't know a terrible amount about the causes of the Great Depression. There's nothing wrong with this, of course, but there is something wrong with having such a low standard of credibility when you form opinions on important policy issues.

All you had to do was say "Do either of you have any evidence?", and even if neither of them did I would still be able to direct you to relevant research.

Come on man, you were being lazy.


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We knew the world would not be the same. A few people laughed, a few people cried, most people were silent. I remembered the line from the shitlord scripture the Bhagavad Reeeeeeeta; Kek is trying to persuade the prince that he should save his people, and to impress him takes on his frog-headed form, and says, "Now I am become meme, the destroyer of cucks." I suppose we all thought that, one way or another.
elements of the American Right have some pretty horrible ideas...auditing the Fed
I don't see how that's a bad thing, the people responsible for printing America's currency should be held to high level of scrutiny.


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
elements of the American Right have some pretty horrible ideas...auditing the Fed
I don't see how that's a bad thing, the people responsible for printing America's currency should be held to high level of scrutiny.
Monetary policy functions well when independent; the Fed already has a high level of Congressional oversight. Increased meddling runs the risk of interest rates being set politically, instead of empirically.

Almost invariably, conservatives pushing the audit the Fed line are just goldbugs who don't have a fucking clue.


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We knew the world would not be the same. A few people laughed, a few people cried, most people were silent. I remembered the line from the shitlord scripture the Bhagavad Reeeeeeeta; Kek is trying to persuade the prince that he should save his people, and to impress him takes on his frog-headed form, and says, "Now I am become meme, the destroyer of cucks." I suppose we all thought that, one way or another.
elements of the American Right have some pretty horrible ideas...auditing the Fed
I don't see how that's a bad thing, the people responsible for printing America's currency should be held to high level of scrutiny.
Monetary policy functions well when independent; the Fed already has a high level of Congressional oversight. Increased meddling runs the risk of interest rates being set politically, instead of empirically.

Almost invariably, conservatives pushing the audit the Fed line are just goldbugs who don't have a fucking clue.
Fair enough, do you have any books/articles I could look into? my library on economics/monetary policy is practically nonexistent.


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
Fair enough, do you have any books/articles I could look into?
Too many.

What area specifically are you interested in?


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We knew the world would not be the same. A few people laughed, a few people cried, most people were silent. I remembered the line from the shitlord scripture the Bhagavad Reeeeeeeta; Kek is trying to persuade the prince that he should save his people, and to impress him takes on his frog-headed form, and says, "Now I am become meme, the destroyer of cucks." I suppose we all thought that, one way or another.
Fair enough, do you have any books/articles I could look into?
Too many.

What area specifically are you interested in?
Banking and stock exchange right now I guess, also the effects of strong/weak dollars on international trading. I have some introductory pdfs so I really just need a pointer on where to go.


 
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All you had to do was say "Do either of you have any evidence?", and even if neither of them did I would still be able to direct you to relevant research.
You must have missed this post, then. I'm not directly asking for "evidence" here, but I am questioning Turkey's conclusions and implicitly requesting that he defend or support them (which he hasn't done--but he seems a little preoccupied with some litigation at the moment so I don't blame him).
Quote
Come on man, you were being lazy.
I admitted tacitly that I don't know a great deal about economics or history, but I've always been taught that the New Deal played overall to the country's benefit, salvaging us from the depression. When I'm told the exact opposite (as though it's common knowledge), it's not lazy for me to ask a few questions, which I did. When LC popped in and confirmed what I've always been taught, it reassured me that I've not gone batshit, hence my response--"Okay, that's what I've always thought."

There's a reason I tend to trust what little my history teachers have taught me--I assume good faith in my curriculum and understand that, even if what's being said to me isn't the whole truth, still serves as a good fundamental baseline for how I examine and consider the events of my country's history. You're basically claiming that I'm the victim of leftist indoctrination, and that the right totally doesn't just have some kind of persecution complex, where their revisionist ideas are summarily discarded--or "lazily ignored." Naturally, I won't be very receptive to that.

I'm just saying, I'm more inclined to believe what I've always believed and nothing has really been said thus far to shift my views. I'm not arguing with you--I just have a few questions.

Here was your response to LC:
Quote
If by "commonly agreed" you mean "shit we teach kids pre-college because we're too lazy to explain it properly" then yeah the New Deal was pretty important. If we're talking about actual empirical work, instead of what our teachers tell us, it becomes far less important.
This communicates to me a lot of mixed messages. You can't seem to decide whether the New Deal ultimately helped out or not. It either did or it didn't. Turkey's original claim was that it played to the country's detriment--exacerbating the depression--and I could've sworn you were on his side. But here, you're arguing that it was "pretty important," if only you look at the situation from a narrow scope, as opposed to looking at "actual empirical work."

But you see, at the end of the day, if it helped, then it helped--right?

So is your argument that some aspects of the New Deal worked out, but most of them didn't? That would make more sense--could you help me understand which aspects of the deal weren't as efficacious? LC sent me a few things to read, as well, so I'll be looking at this from both sides and forming my own conclusions, if you like.
Last Edit: November 14, 2016, 02:41:57 PM by Verbatim


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
I assume good faith in my curriculum
Why?

Also, I was going to write a couple of paragraphs in response to your points, but it's easier and quicker for me to just list them.

- It depends heavily on what you consider the New Deal to include. If it includes monetary policy, which I'm not sure it should, then you could reasonably say the New Deal ended the Great Depression. But this kind of ignores nuance in considering the effect of non-monetary policy.

- Even if you include monetary policy, I'd still argue the government prolonged the Depression. Monetary policy was effectively controlled by the Treasury at the time, and a tightening of policy in 1937 is what led to the Roosevelt Recession. Monetary policy technically ended the Depression, but did so in a highly sub-optimal way.

- The usual scope of the New Deal--fiscal policy and things like NIRA--can probably be considered failures. Fiscal stimulus didn't play much of a part in the recovery, and even if it did the negative effects of NIRA likely outweighed any positives.

- Non-New Deal factors, like tariff barriers and international gold flows, also played a role.

In conclusion, the most accurate statement would probably be that government policy unnecessarily prolonged the Depression from whatever angle. Monetary policy was responsible for its end, but it took longer than it would've done had they known any better.

One area I would distance myself from Turkey in is that he seems to think fiscal stimulus prolongs recessions; he said as much about the Obama stimulus. If this is why he thinks the Depression was prolonged by government policy, he is incorrect. Fiscal stimulus is justifiable.
Last Edit: November 14, 2016, 03:53:58 PM by Удалить кебаб


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A salt Rifle
Echo-esque
Say that out loud 3 times fast
Echo-esque, echo-exssfuck

Echo-esque, eckoses-damn it.

Echo-ekek -- fuck this.


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
Oh, I would also say one area where the New Deal can be considered a genuine success is in shifting expectations. Introducing a new policy regime specifically to combat the Depression signals seriousness; almost like a form of forward guidance.


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Verb, I'm not quite sure I get what you're still arguing.


 
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Verb, I'm not quite sure I get what you're still arguing.
The Trump thing, or the New Deal thing?


 
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Verb, I'm not quite sure I get what you're still arguing.
The Trump thing, or the New Deal thing?

Trump thing.


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Did he say glass of juice or gas the Jews?
👶🏽:h..

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Maybe the reason why Verb is so anti-Trump is simply because he is secretly a Trump supporter. For example the people who are are strongly anti-gay end up being gay themselves. So for Verb it could be the same scenario.


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One area I would distance myself from Turkey in is that he seems to think fiscal stimulus prolongs recessions; he said as much about the Obama stimulus.

I don't recall saying that. The New Deal was a failure largely because it lacked fiscal stimulus; it forced wages and prices to inflate during a depression -- something even an economic luddite would recognize as unwise.


 
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Verb, I'm not quite sure I get what you're still arguing.
The Trump thing, or the New Deal thing?
Trump thing.
http://sep7agon.net/serious/reince-priebus-picked-as-trump's-chief-of-staff/msg1352721/#msg1352721

Not arguing anything--if Trump is a "fuck you" to the establishment, then this is my "fuck you" back.


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Signature goes here.
Verb has more salt than the Pacific.


 
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YouTube


 
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Maybe the reason why Verb is so anti-Trump is simply because he is secretly a Trump supporter. For example the people who are are strongly anti-gay end up being gay themselves. So for Verb it could be the same scenario.
I don't want shit to do with you if you don't hate Trump as much as I do.

Verb has more salt than the Pacific.
That's like saying the universe has more stars than a galaxy does. It's just a bit redundant.


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Get of my lawn
Why would I give him the benefit of the doubt? He's run a campaign based on xenophobia and hate. He's been endorsed by most white nationalist groups. He selected the head of Breibart to be his chief strategist. I can't think of a single reason I should think he'll pull a 180 and end up a good guy.


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
I don't recall saying that.
I obviously could be wrong, but I have a vivid memory of you saying something along those lines. Like I say, though, could be wrong.


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We knew the world would not be the same. A few people laughed, a few people cried, most people were silent. I remembered the line from the shitlord scripture the Bhagavad Reeeeeeeta; Kek is trying to persuade the prince that he should save his people, and to impress him takes on his frog-headed form, and says, "Now I am become meme, the destroyer of cucks." I suppose we all thought that, one way or another.
Why would I give him the benefit of the doubt? He's run a campaign based on xenophobia and hate. He's been endorsed by most white nationalist groups. He selected the head of Breibart to be his chief strategist. I can't think of a single reason I should think he'll pull a 180 and end up a good guy.
Because Barack Obama is asking you to do so. Unless you think you have more justification than the president to be pissed off at Trump, then you don't have much justification. Of course, you don't have to like him, or accept his policies, but you do have to wait until he's in office and running the country before you get to say "see, I told you he was bad".


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We knew the world would not be the same. A few people laughed, a few people cried, most people were silent. I remembered the line from the shitlord scripture the Bhagavad Reeeeeeeta; Kek is trying to persuade the prince that he should save his people, and to impress him takes on his frog-headed form, and says, "Now I am become meme, the destroyer of cucks." I suppose we all thought that, one way or another.


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.

Just to let you know, I'm working on compiling a list for the areas you said you were interested in. Will post them as a separate thread.


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We knew the world would not be the same. A few people laughed, a few people cried, most people were silent. I remembered the line from the shitlord scripture the Bhagavad Reeeeeeeta; Kek is trying to persuade the prince that he should save his people, and to impress him takes on his frog-headed form, and says, "Now I am become meme, the destroyer of cucks." I suppose we all thought that, one way or another.

Just to let you know, I'm working on compiling a list for the areas you said you were interested in. Will post them as a separate thread.
Thank you kindly.


 
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Verb has more salt than the Pacific.


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We knew the world would not be the same. A few people laughed, a few people cried, most people were silent. I remembered the line from the shitlord scripture the Bhagavad Reeeeeeeta; Kek is trying to persuade the prince that he should save his people, and to impress him takes on his frog-headed form, and says, "Now I am become meme, the destroyer of cucks." I suppose we all thought that, one way or another.


 
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People are so damn melodramatic

Even as someone who didn't want Trump to win, some people just bitch and bitch and bitch about things that will never effect their daily lives. Maybe pay attention on the local level and see who's in office there. Factually speaking, they'll fuck with your lives more.