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Messages - More Than Mortal

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3181
Serious / Re: Molyneux on clockboy
« on: September 25, 2015, 12:59:15 PM »
Molyneux makes the occasional good video. I'll give it a watch tomorrow.

3182
Serious / Re: John Boehner to resign from Congress
« on: September 25, 2015, 10:10:55 AM »
Good now lets replace him with someone that's actually a little bipartisan
What? Boehner has been noted for being bipartisan; he's pretty much resigning because he won't be able to deal with the backlash from Republicans after he pushed through a budget with the Democrats and a small group of moderates in his own party.

3183
Serious / John Boehner to resign from Congress
« on: September 25, 2015, 10:01:03 AM »
NYT

Quote
WASHINGTON — Speaker John A. Boehner, under intense pressure from conservatives in his party, will resign one of the most powerful positions in government and give up his House seat at the end of October, throwing Congress into chaos as it tries to avert a government shutdown.

Mr. Boehner, who was first elected to Congress in 1990, made the announcement in an emotional meeting with his fellow Republicans on Friday morning.

The Ohio representative struggled from almost the moment he took the speaker’s gavel in 2011 to manage the challenges of divided government and to hold together his fractious and increasingly conservative Republican members.

3184
Serious / Re: Rambling
« on: September 24, 2015, 08:48:26 PM »
Why don't you stop being a little bitch and teach yourself?

3185
Serious / Re: Do we have a moral obligation?
« on: September 24, 2015, 07:08:58 PM »
Depending on the severity of their retardation, it would probably be kinder to have them euthanised. Although it should be totally up to the family.

3186
Different conclusions from different methodology or premises.
The key being to identify the best premise, as we do in science.

3187
however, there are many who would disagree with you, for one reason or another.
So we should consider the existence of non-empiricists and non-physicalists when we approach science as to make it relative?

3188
Because you're not in your right mind.
You mean like a depressed person?

Nevertheless, psychopaths often are in their right mind. They aren't legally insane, and psychopathy is egosyntonic practically by definition.

3189
Not everyone who commits suicide has a mental illness.
Precisely my point; I agree that non-mentally ill individuals should be allowed to end their lives.

Quote
If you have a condition like psychopathy or schizophrenia, I would consider you unable to give consent.
Why? Schizophrenics are not always psychotic, and there's nothing about psychopathy which precludes the ability to give consent.

3190
If a dictatorship and democratic nation both were successful, it's people happy and prosperous, which is morally correct?
If we're assuming exactly the same level of actual and potential human well-being then they are morally identical.

3191
You have no obligation to continue existing, period.
I didn't say anybody did; we're talking about a mental illness. Should we section some schizophrenics or psychopaths on the basis that they have a heightened capacity to commit violence?

3192
Can you test them in a scientific lab to say "Person A's morals are the correct ones?"
Yes, if you identify the best basis for morality.

Explain.
It's like identifying the best basis for your epistemology, or your physics. We only reach objective conclusions in physics by identifying and assuming certain values or definitions which then underpin our endeavours. Every realm of empirical study has to make initial assumptions to get off the ground.

3193
Evolution, or at least micro-evolution, is something that can be, and has been, observed. And while extensive evolution (Such as humans evolving from ape-like ancestors) has not been viewed by scientists, skeletal remains do show this.
Just to point this out: there's literally no difference between micro- and macro-evolution. Creationists pretty much invented the concept to give themselves some wiggle room when the science began buttfucking them.

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Just because people don't believe in gravity, doesn't mean it isn't true. Science is absolutes - morals are not.
My point was that disagreements do not prove subjectivity.

3194
Surprise birthday parties are a light example. If someone makes it known they don't want them, but it still happens, that's definitely immoral.

In that way, it's more of an implied consent.
Is pulling a depressed person back from the ledge just before they jump immoral?
Of course. You have no right to stop them.
And this is why your form of morality is the most retarded fucking thing I've ever come across. It's entirely possible for people to be incorrect about what would be in their own interests--suicide being perhaps the most important example.

3195
Can you test them in a scientific lab to say "Person A's morals are the correct ones?"
Yes, if you identify the best basis for morality.

3196
Surprise birthday parties are a light example. If someone makes it known they don't want them, but it still happens, that's definitely immoral.

In that way, it's more of an implied consent.
Is pulling a depressed person back from the ledge just before they jump immoral?

3197
because outside of our species, it does not exist.
This is also wrong; chimps have been observed to have some kind of moral compass.

3198
Morality, what we consider to be moral, is entirely a human concept.
So is the economy, it doesn't make economics subjective.

Quote
but killing in war is apparently okay to some, while to others it isn't.
And some people don't believe in evolution.

3199
Serious / Re: A riddle
« on: September 24, 2015, 02:50:11 PM »
Quote
w3
s1
v5
p362
That makes me think it has something to do with a book. Other than that I have no fucking idea.


Although, to be honest, I'm guessing you're using this as some kind of experiment to observe pattern-finding behaviour in utterly random sequences.

3200
Serious / Re: How do you feel about the pope speaking to congress?
« on: September 24, 2015, 02:12:44 PM »
I want to know who thinks the Pope has any good ideas for policy in the first place.

Bernie Sanders, apparently.
I'm not surprised.

3201
Serious / Re: How do you feel about the pope speaking to congress?
« on: September 24, 2015, 02:07:45 PM »
I want to know who thinks the Pope has any good ideas for policy in the first place.

3202
Here

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Lots of misinformation going around regarding the price hike on pyrimethamine both on reddit and in the media and with a dozen people tagging me to answer questions over the last couple of days I figured it would be useful to post all the common questions people seem to have. Also happy to answer any questions people have about pharma or healthcare.

How is there still a patent in place for a drug developed 62 years ago?

Quote
There is no current patent in place for pyrimethamine. Instead it has a special FDA classification called orphan drug.

An orphan drug classification is awarded for drugs that have a very small market and the FDA believes that guaranteeing a protected market is the only way to ensure the drug remains available to US patients.

The classification is also awarded for small markets if no prior efficacy trials have been completed for a use and a pharma completes them, this can be an off-label usage or it can be for a drug developed prior to 1965 when we began to require efficacy trials for new drugs. A pharma who completes efficacy trials is awarded a 7 year period of marketing exclusivity in the US.

Marketing exclusivity means that no other pharma can distribute it in the US, it behaves similarly to a patent in this regard.

Doesn't he need to raise the money to continue development?

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No. While I can't directly speak to his claims of attempting to develop new drugs none of his prior companies have engaged in drug development activity and instead they have simply purchased licenses for existing drugs.

In addition drug development doesn't work in this manner. Pharma seeks investment and then recovers the cost of development to return to investors when a drug is on market (which is why we have protected markets with patents in the first place), for multi-drug companies they will certainly seek to recover the cost of failed drugs too but they don't increase the price of existing drugs in anticipation of completing new development activity.

How will the price rises impact consumers?

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ACA regulated how those with chronic conditions pay for drugs. Cost exposure for individuals who need the drug is effectively unchanged as they are subject to a co-payment instead of co-insurance. The cost will fall on RX providers and the federal government (via Ryan White programs and Medicare) which is obviously a cost for everyone in the country.

What legislative/regulatory action is possible?


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While the FDA do move fairly slowly they have the authority to act against those abusing an orphan license in this manner and they probably have already sent out a regulatory notice, pharma are required to notify the FDA before making a public announcement regarding a price change. The process for revoking their orphan license takes about a year, the FDA have done this in the past for similar pricing abuse.

For this specific drug there is also another option as its part of the WHO essential drugs list, any item that appears on this list a country is permitted to simply ignore any patents for under the TRIPS agreement. This would require NiH, congress or the executive to act to assert the countries rights under this agreement.

How long would it take for a new generic to make it to market?

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For this drug the process would take around 6 months. Newer generics take up to 15 months.

Older drugs like this are inexpensive to manufacture and can use existing filings rather then having to complete their own clinical work so there is not a particularly high cost of entry in this case. The cost to file with the FDA in this case would be $38,020, assuming an existing pharma takes it on additional entry costs are only for things like designing packaging, drug information sheets etc.

Is it is true the US is the only country in the world which doesn't regulate price?

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Every country which is not the US sets a limit on the price they are willing to pay for drugs based on their efficacy, in most countries this process is a dialog as there is not a true objective standard for measuring efficacy. No country tells pharma how much they can charge beyond this, as long as a drug meets their price/efficacy standards they don't regulate prices beyond this.

The US should have a similar system, it will certainly reduce our drug expenditure by removing low-efficacy drugs from the market but the savings likely wont be very large on an average per-unit basis. The drugs we consume the most of are generally not unreasonably priced, we would have a readjustment in prices (some would come up as the efficacy system would set a bar, others would come down for the same reason) but little net change.

In the case of this drug even the most restrictive system in the world (currently the UK) would still buy it, its extremely effective and the price wasn't set high enough for any country to refuse to cover it. However this problem generally would not occur outside the US as the US is one of only two countries which deal with orphan drugs in this manner, most don't require re-approval for a use which has already been demonstrated on-market (IE off-label use can be licensed absent efficacy trials if sufficient data exists elsewhere) and they don't discourage off-label use (EG Medicare prohibits physicians from writing off-label, its thankfully poorly enforced but remains a problem).

How do our drug costs compare with the rest of the world?

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On a per-unit basis we are higher then average but not an outlier, our costs are comparable to Germany and Japan. Our per-capita costs are much higher then average and we are an outlier, this is due to very high consumption, we consume a much high proportion of branded drugs and we consume a much higher proportion of on-patent drugs.

Excess consumption mainly comes from those covered by Medicare, an efficacy/cost control mechanism would do a good job of reducing this. Our excess from branded drugs comes from stronger regulations on substitution preventing pharmacists from substituting and physicians writing no-substitute prescription far more frequently then they should. Our on-patent excess is driven by almost all drugs entering the world market in the US before elsewhere as 47% of development cost recovery worldwide is from US markets.

3203
Of course there's no mention of who is actually doing this from the BBC.

3204
Serious / Britain isn't as unequal as you think
« on: September 24, 2015, 07:44:44 AM »
The economist

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ONE of the key aims of taxation and public spending is to redistribute income from rich to poor. The way most statisticians, economists and policymakers think about this is in terms of a cross-sectional snapshot: what the distribution of wealth or income is between different people in a population in a single year. But we might care more about lifetime incomes: in the modern labour market, many people now have very high incomes in certain parts of their lives, and much lower ones at other times.

A new paper by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) shines a new light on how well the British tax system redistributes incomes over people's lifetimes, in addition to using the cross-sectional approach. It presents several interesting findings. For a start, it finds that lifetime inequality in Britain has always been much lower than cross-sectional inequality (see first chart). This is because the poorest in any given year are not always poor for their entire lives; the IFS's simulations suggest that those who, over the whole of their life, are in the lowest 10%, only spend an average of a fifth of their lifetimes at the bottom.

More startlingly, policies that increased or cut welfare expenditure appear to have had very little impact on lifetime inequality. For instance, while the benefit cuts of the late 1980s reduced benefits and increased cross-sectional inequality, it had a much more muted effect on lifetime inequality. And, similarly, although Gordon Brown's massive expansion of means-tested tax credits in the 2000s reduced cross-sectional inequality, they had very little impact on cutting lifetime inequality.

The paper also finds that the redistribution performed by the British welfare state is, to a great extent, smoothing incomes over people's lifetimes rather than in a given year.Whereas 36% of individuals receive more in benefits than they pay in tax in any given year, only 7% do so over their lifetimes. Over half of all redistribution is simply across peoples' lifespans; the young pay in while they work, and take out when they retire (see second chart).

This is, perhaps, a result of the origin of Britain's welfare system. The thinkers who developed the principles behind the system, such as Seehohm Rowntree and William Beveridge, envisaged it as a mechanism more to smooth incomes over Britons' lifetimes than as a system of redistributing wealth from the rich to the poor. What the IFS's paper shows is that Britain's welfare state still acts in the same way as its founders intended, more like a forced saving scheme for retirement rather than as Robin Hood. That suggests that policymakers today need to think more about inequality on a lifetime basis—and how to reduce it—unlike their predecessors who founded the welfare state.


3205
BBC
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There were more than 1,000 newly recorded cases of female genital mutilation (FGM) in England between April and June, NHS data reveals.

For the first time the official figures were expanded to include information from general practices and mental health trusts.

They show nine cases where girls were under 18 when first seen.

FGM is illegal across the UK and it is illegal to take someone abroad for this purpose.

Not all cases would have taken place in the past three months - some may have been picked up at routine appointments for other health issues many years after the incidents occurred.

And the report did not look at whether the cases took place in the UK or abroad.

Sometimes called female circumcision, FGM refers to procedures including the partial or total removal of external female genital organs for non-medical reasons.

It can cause issues including severe pain, infections, pregnancy complications and even death.

The Health and Social Care Information Centre figures covered cases of FGM reported by the women and girls themselves and others recorded by clinicians during appointments.

'Global dimension'

Experts say figures on the practice have been patchy and it is difficult to know exactly how many women have been affected by FGM.

But the government has plans to make data collection mandatory across many areas of the NHS.

Tanya Barron of the charity Plan UK said global action was needed to tackle this problem.

She added: "It's shocking to see the extent of FGM here in the UK.

"We've seen hugely increased attention on this problem in the past few years and we are now waking up to the scale of this terrible practice.

"What we must always keep in mind though is that this is not specifically a British problem.

"FGM is a practice with an inherently global dimension.

"And while it's vital that we do everything we can to stop FGM here in the UK, as well as to support the girls and women affected by it, the reality is that this practice won't end in the UK until it is ended worldwide."

Analysis: What do the numbers show?

Charities say it is very difficult to know exactly how many women have been affected by FGM in the UK.

And many of the cases recorded by the NHS in the last three months will have not have taken place recently.

There are a number of reasons women or girls do not talk openly about FGM soon after it happens - including the fear of stigma or getting people into trouble.

Some incidents may come to light years later - for example at a hospital appointment for an unrelated issue or during an antenatal visit.

What is new is a concerted push to collect more data on FGM.

In the last few months clinicians in acute hospitals in England have been told it is mandatory to record any cases they see - whether they were previously recorded by NHS systems or not.

And in October this reporting will be mandatory for GP practices and mental health specialists as well.

Many practices have already started collating these figures and some have been used in this latest report.

For these reasons we can't compare any previous figures and so experts don't yet have a sense of what the trend is.
But there are many experts who hope that more data will help them better understand the scale of the problem.

3206
Serious / Re: Jeremy Corbyn isn't just an idiot, he's a dangerous idiot
« on: September 24, 2015, 07:22:48 AM »
He's not wrong, instead of constantly bombing each other into oblivion why not hold peaceful talks? How is there anything wrong with that?
Because these people--unlike China and the Russians--are not rational actors. We're dealing with people like ISIS, Hamas, Hezbollah and al-Qaeda and they operate in an intellectual framework where martyrdom is a moral choice and Armageddon is a solution because those who are righteous will go to Paradise and those who are wicked will burn in hellfire, and to them this is a perfect equilibrium.

I've no doubt you could get short-term concessions from some kind of leadership class within these groups, but they are not viable going into the future. We're fundamentally dealing with a group of people riddled with theocrats who are actually willing to hit the wall at 400mph.

3207
The Flood / Re: How many TVs do you have in your house?
« on: September 23, 2015, 05:43:07 PM »
Three.

Zero in my university accommodation.

3208
The Flood / Re: are you reading anything at the moment?
« on: September 23, 2015, 05:39:48 PM »
Oh, I also dive into a big leatherbound book called the Necronomicon from time to time.

3209
The Flood / Re: are you reading anything at the moment?
« on: September 23, 2015, 05:39:29 PM »
i might make a thread discussing some of its themes when i'm finished
I loved it first time I read through it. Must have gone through it three times again since then. It occupies a special place on my bookshelf.

3210
The Flood / Re: are you reading anything at the moment?
« on: September 23, 2015, 05:34:30 PM »
I'm reading quite a few currently. Finishing off GRRM's A Feast for Crows mainly, though.

Started reading Cameron at 10, which is a biography of David Cameron's premiership from 2010-2015, about 80 pages through at the moment. Also reading Adam Smith's The Wealth of Nations Books IV-V, Hume's Enquiries Into Human Understanding, Nick Bostrom's Superintelligence and The Undercover Economist Strikes Back.

After that I'll start reading The Martian, a biography of Napoleon, either Stiglitz's The Price of Inequality or Acemoglu's Why Nations Fail, Schopenhauer's The World as Will and Representation, Simon Baron-Cohen's The Science of Evil and Jonah Goldberg's Liberal Fascism.

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