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Messages - More Than Mortal
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10921
« on: November 18, 2014, 09:58:07 AM »
If the mods were creationists, they would consider this bait. Just pointing out that you have liberal privilege on this forum.
An intrinsic part of bait is unreasonableness. I don't think you can call calling out YECs unreasonable. Plus we aren't in Srs.
10922
« on: November 18, 2014, 09:52:24 AM »
>tfw already on right
10923
« on: November 18, 2014, 09:51:22 AM »
I have to disagree challeger. The social impacts of colonialism were horrible but, more often than not, the economic, technological and medicinal gains made up for it.
Shit, the wheel didn't exist in some parts of Africa as late as the 1800s.
10924
« on: November 18, 2014, 09:46:18 AM »
No, some inflation is patently good.
10925
« on: November 18, 2014, 02:20:53 AM »
Wait, a slowing in inflation is bad? Pardon me here, I'm a tad impaired, but, isn't rampant inflation what leads to crashes and stuff? Deflation is equally bad. Inflation should probably lie around 2-4pc. High inflation - above 15pc say - is when shit gets dangerous.
10926
« on: November 18, 2014, 02:17:19 AM »
We need a return to proper cold war policy, and assassination attempts on Putin.
You don't negotiate with psychopaths.
10927
« on: November 18, 2014, 02:14:54 AM »
Colonialism, for the most part, was beneficial.
The current situation is mainly because of European and African governments inability to work out postcolonialism.
10928
« on: November 18, 2014, 02:00:52 AM »
There are so many important factors during the '21 depression that caused it to self correct which we just can't rely on nowadays.
Even Hayek thought we should target nominal income.
10929
« on: November 17, 2014, 05:58:44 PM »
From Brad DeLongBERKELEY – First it was the 2007 financial crisis. Then it became the 2008 financial crisis. Next it was the downturn of 2008-2009. Finally, in mid-2009, it was dubbed the “Great Recession.” And, with the business cycle’s shift onto an upward trajectory in late 2009, the world breathed a collective a sigh of relief. We would not, it was believed, have to move on to the next label, which would inevitably contain the dreaded D-word.
But the sense of relief was premature. Contrary to the claims of politicians and their senior aides that the “summer of recovery” had arrived, the United States did not experience a V-shaped pattern of economic revival, as it did after the recessions of the late 1970s and early 1980s. And the US economy remained far below its previous growth trend.
Indeed, from 2005 to 2007, America’s real (inflation-adjusted) GDP grew at just over 3% annually. During the 2009 trough, the figure was 11% lower – and it has since dropped by an additional 5%.
The situation is even worse in Europe. Instead of a weak recovery, the eurozone experienced a second-wave contraction beginning in 2010. At the trough, the eurozone’s real GDP amounted to 8% less than the 1995-2007 trend; today, it is 15% lower.
Cumulative output losses relative to the 1995-2007 trends now stand at 78% of annual GDP for the US, and at 60% for the eurozone. That is an extraordinarily large amount of foregone prosperity – and a far worse outcome than was expected. In 2007, nobody foresaw the decline in growth rates and potential output that statistical and policymaking agencies are now baking into their estimates.
By 2011, it was clear – at least to me – that the Great Recession was no longer an accurate moniker. It was time to begin calling this episode “the Lesser Depression.”
But the story does not end there. Today, the North Atlantic economy faces two additional downward shocks.
The first, as Lorcan Roche Kelly of Agenda Research noted, was discussed by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi while extemporizing during a recent speech. Draghi began by acknowledging that, in Europe, inflation has declined from around 2.5% in mid-2012 to 0.4% today. He then argued that we can no longer assume that the drivers of this trend – such as a drop in food and energy prices, high unemployment, and the crisis in Ukraine – are temporary in nature.
In fact, inflation has been declining for so long that it is now threatening price stability – and inflation expectations continue to fall. The five-year swap rate – an indicator of medium-term inflation expectations – has fallen by 15 basis points since mid-2012, to less than 2%. Moreover, as Draghi noted, real short- and medium-term rates have increased; long-term rates have not, owing to a decline in long-term nominal rates that extends far beyond the eurozone.
Draghi’s subsequent declaration that the ECB Governing Council will use “all the available unconventional instruments” to safeguard price stability and anchor inflation expectations over the medium-to-long term is telling. The pretense that the eurozone is on a path toward recovery has collapsed; the only realistic way to read the financial markets is to anticipate a triple-dip recession.
Meanwhile, in the US, the Federal Reserve under Janet Yellen is no longer wondering whether it is appropriate to stop purchasing long-term assets and raise interest rates until there is a significant upturn in employment. Instead, despite the absence of a significant increase in employment or a substantial increase in inflation, the Fed already is cutting its asset purchases and considering when, not whether, to raise interest rates.
A year and a half ago, those who expected a return by 2017 to the path of potential output – whatever that would be – estimated that the Great Recession would ultimately cost the North Atlantic economy about 80% of one year’s GDP, or $13 trillion, in lost production. If such a five-year recovery began now – a highly optimistic scenario – it would mean losses of about $20 trillion. If, as seems more likely, the economy performs over the next five years as it has for the last two, then takes another five years to recover, a massive $35 trillion worth of wealth would be lost.
When do we admit that it is time to call what is happening by its true name? The ECB continues to fiddle while Europe burns. Real losses to GDP are now larger than those seen in the 30s.
10930
« on: November 17, 2014, 05:23:12 PM »
mixing them is a lot more preferable than either going full precedent on the one hand, or no judicial power other than to apply laws on the other.
If you had to choose between fully (or as much as is functionally possible) between common and civil law, which would you pick? Just as a matter of interest.
10931
« on: November 17, 2014, 05:00:13 PM »
Lets be real here, if Bush didn't go to war he would be looked at even more unfavorably today. We couldn't do NOTHING over being attacked on our soil.
THANK YOU.
10932
« on: November 17, 2014, 04:39:53 PM »
Fuck off, that's like two fucking pages.
10933
« on: November 17, 2014, 04:37:29 PM »
Yes.
But.
But.
But.
It's certainly fuckin' easier.
Easier is not necessarily better though.
True, wouldn't a strong court of equity prevent any unsavoury "progress", though?
10934
« on: November 17, 2014, 04:29:11 PM »
Option C, the judiciary?
Ooh, fucken ell, didn't think of that one.
Commonlaw4lyfe
A function judiciary branch that actively drives change and has the power to keep other branches in check is not exclusive to just common law systems though.
Yes. But. But. But. It's certainly fuckin' easier.
10935
« on: November 17, 2014, 04:03:34 PM »
Probably has to do with most of them being poor.
. . . Well, yeah. That's what welfare is for.
10936
« on: November 17, 2014, 04:00:31 PM »
This starts to make sense when you consider most poor minority groups in urban areas vote blue.
Welfare dependency/farming for votes i.e. slavery.
It's a well known fact that Red states are bigger burdens on the welfare budget.
10937
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:57:55 PM »
I'll shoot.
I'm pretty much active everyday, and British which could help with any timezone issues. I'm (hopefully) considered by most to be capable of seriousness and responsibility when required, and spend most of my time knocking around the Serious board, which seems to be most in need of having threads moved >.> I've also got a clean record of no warnings/bans.
But, shit, you guys know me better than I know myself. I enjoy the discussion, and am willing to accept a degree of responsibility and authority on a forum I enjoy using a lot. Plus, it'd quench my insatiable lust for power and defuse any future Metalutions I might launch >.>
But hey, you're the boss. I'll leave it to you.
10938
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:53:57 PM »
I don't know what you're talking about then.
It's similar. The bureaucracy is accountable to the executive (mostly), but it isn't the same. It's the administrative body that deals with the technical implementation of policy. It's meritocratic and technocratic, instead of elected and representative.
10939
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:52:42 PM »
Which is why I'm a conservative democrat.
Ideologues on both sides tend to be fucking retarded.
10940
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:48:49 PM »
Option C, the judiciary?
Ooh, fucken ell, didn't think of that one.
Commonlaw4lyfe
So essentially the executive branch, legislative branch, or the judicial?
Civil service =/= executive.
10942
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:46:51 PM »
Option C, the judiciary?
Ooh, fucken ell, didn't think of that one. Commonlaw4lyfe
10943
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:44:03 PM »
actual people who practice real Islam as opposed to the radical idiots who give Muslims a bad name
Meta pls
10944
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:41:25 PM »
actual people who practice real Islam as opposed to the radical idiots who give Muslims a bad name
10945
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:38:46 PM »
Trigger warnings trigger me.
Reported.
10946
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:30:38 PM »
I don't think humans can make true randomness, but the universe is completely random in what it does.
http://fractalfoundation.org/resources/what-is-chaos-theory/
Surely that doesn't make sense. Humans aren't apart or separate from the functioning of the Universe at a fundamental level.
10947
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:15:33 PM »
At least supporting both makes me consistent, then.
10948
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:10:01 PM »
FTFY
Still better than Libertarian economics.
10949
« on: November 17, 2014, 03:08:17 PM »
T4R.
10950
« on: November 17, 2014, 01:36:38 PM »
do u wanna get knocked spark out m8
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