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Messages - Alternative Facts

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871
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Clinton Winning 75-66)
« on: November 08, 2016, 07:14:24 PM »
Why couldn't it have been my main man Rand

There's always 2020.

That election began today.

872
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Clinton Winning 75-66)
« on: November 08, 2016, 07:13:12 PM »
Still in line with prediction maps.

To be honest, there's only ~5 states that would differ from prediction maps.

Senate is where the real fun is

873
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Clinton Winning 75-66)
« on: November 08, 2016, 07:10:48 PM »
Tammy Duckworth has ousted Mark Kirk in Illinois, while Marco Rubio, Rob Portman and Rand Paul are returning to the Senate.

874
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 33-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 07:03:09 PM »
As per MSNBC:

Illinois, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Maryland, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware. District of Columbia, go to Clinton

Tennessee, Alabama, Oklahoma, Mississippi to go to Trump

Missouri, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Maine are all too early to call

875
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 33-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:59:44 PM »
292 Electoral Votes are up for grabs as the 8 PM states close.


876
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 33-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:57:55 PM »
Broward and Miami-Dade has begun to report in with big numbers for Clinton.

NYT also has Ohio as a light blue shade for Clinton

877
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 24-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:50:59 PM »
MSNBC calls South Carolina for Trump, bringing him up to 33

878
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 24-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:50:42 PM »
24 - 3 to Trump?

Haha may as well take office right now xDDDD

Melania is picking out the drapes as we speak.

880
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 24-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:46:11 PM »


Prediction map, just for reference. No surprises so far.

Florida will be a very light shade of blue. But otherwise, we'll see

881
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 24-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:44:06 PM »
Who's going to win Ohio

Trump is predicted, due to turning out a strong base of whites without college degrees.

882
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 24-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:42:11 PM »
He's doing it
He's winning the bumfuck Bible belt states, not the least bit surprising.

If he wins Florida, it's going to get interesting.

NYT's has him up by about 2%, with 7% reporting.

Problem is that Broward and Miami-Dade counties, two of the most populous counties and where Obama has run up big margins, haven't begun reporting en-mass. So until they start turning up info, Trump can't begin popping bottles

883
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 24-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:40:37 PM »
God, I'm gonna be depressed as a motherfucker if Trump wins.

No need to, at least not yet.

The state that Trump won were never going to Clinton, not even when she was making plays in places like Arizona. These are also the same states that went Romney in 2012, and we saw how that turned out.

North Carolina and Ohio just closed, and a good 200 electoral votes will be closing at 8PM - a good chunk going to Clinton

884
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 24-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:36:40 PM »

885
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 24-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:32:34 PM »
Trump wins West Virginia, brings him up to 24

886
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 19-3)
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:19:36 PM »
Clinton leading in Virginia, 49.5-45. Too close to call

887
Wasn't expecting Georgia to be so close tbh.

Atlanta is a growing powerhouse for Dems. And the Trump campaign has struggled there,  like in Arizona, with minorities.

Bad sign if it stays close
I know that it's supposed to be a blue  state by 2024, but I was still expecting Trump to win by 5-8% in the meantime.

I'd say 3-5 points is likely

889
Wasn't expecting Georgia to be so close tbh.

Atlanta is a growing powerhouse for Dems. And the Trump campaign has struggled there,  like in Arizona, with minorities.

Bad sign if it stays close

890
Trump wins Kentucky and Indiana

Clinton wins Vermont

I'll update the thread as soon as I'm back from dinner

891
What if both Trump and Clinton don't get 270, but Johnson wins some state? Just imagine the levels of butt hurt there would be if that guy ends up being president due to congress or however someone is selected when nobody reaches 270.

It'd be McMullin, not Johnson

892
80-18%
huh

Trump is leading Clinton in the state of Kentucky so far, 80-18.

The state doesn't completely close polling locations until 7 (Those that are in the Central time zone), but data from areas that have closed are rolling in.

893
Trump leads 80-18% in Kentucky

894
Polls in various parts of Indiana and Kentucky are now closing.

Remainder of the states, as well as Virginia, Georgia and South Carolina close at 7.

895
Some national exit poll details from Chuck Todd on NBC


- White Voters w/ College Degrees Split: 47% for GOP, 46% for Democrats
- White Voters w/o College Degrees: 65% for GOP, 29% for Democrats
- 45% of voters 65+ going for Clinton
- 52% of voters 65+ going for Trump
- 32% say Trump is "Honest and Trustworthy"
- 38% say Clinton is "Honest and Trustworthy"
- 18% of voters are under 30
- 40% of voters support border wall
- 54% of voters oppose a border wall

896
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (First Polls Close at 6 est)
« on: November 08, 2016, 04:00:48 PM »
One hour until the first polls in Indiana and Kentucky close.


897
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (First Polls Close at 6 est)
« on: November 08, 2016, 03:49:21 PM »
Jeb Bush is banned from this thread.


898
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (First Polls Close at 6 est)
« on: November 08, 2016, 03:23:28 PM »
First early exit poll analysis comes from Politico

Quote
More voters say they were contacted by Hillary Clinton’s campaign than by Donald Trump’s, according to new, preliminary results from a Morning Consult/POLITICO Exit Poll that appear to confirm Clinton’s organizational advantage in the presidential race.

Seventeen percent of voters say they were contacted by Clinton’s campaign by phone or in person, compared to only 8 percent who say Trump’s camp reached them. Another 9 percent say they were contacted by both campaigns, and 62 percent say neither campaign made contact with them.

The results – based on online interviews with 9,704 early and Election-Day voters – are preliminary and could change significantly as the day goes on.

The Morning Consult/POLITICO Exit Poll also shows little “Obama effect” at the ballot box. Twenty-one percent of voters said their vote was to express support for President Barack Obama, while 19 percent said it was to express opposition to Obama. A 55-percent majority said their opinion of Obama was not a factor, but a 69-percent majority expect Clinton to mainly continue Obama’s policies.

Despite pre-election polls showing neither candidate poised to win a majority of the vote on Tuesday, a 55-percent majority thinks the winner of the election “has a mandate to take the country towards the vision they spoke about during the campaign,” while 23 percent don’t think the winner will have a mandate. Another 22 percent aren’t sure.

The Morning Consult/POLITICO Exit Poll was conducted October 18 - November 8, 2016 among 9,704 early/Election Day Voters. The interviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment. The results have a margin of error of +/- 1 percent.

899
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (First Polls Close at 6 est)
« on: November 08, 2016, 03:08:29 PM »
Interesting.

900
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (First Polls Close at 6 est)
« on: November 08, 2016, 03:01:25 PM »
Hit the poll at 9am. Voted Johnson, and then against any option that supported Georgia Amendment 1. I realized that they'll still likely win, but just voting opposite at least decreased the victory by a fraction of a percent.

What is Georgia Amendment 1?

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