Quote from: Icy on August 30, 2016, 02:42:48 PM

Quote from: Iberian Husky on August 30, 2016, 12:46:33 PM

Based Johnson has my vote now that people are actually starting to support him.

And yet he still won't even make it to the debate stage.

Pity.

Who knows? With the way this race has been going anything can happen.

Dude needs an average of 15% using polls from

ABC-Washington Post
CBS-New York Times
CNN-Opinion Research Corporation
Fox News
NBC-Wall Street Journal

Good luck with that.

For Politics...

- Five Thirty Eight
- Politico
- NYT
- WaPo
- Fox News & MSNBC

General News

- NYT
- WaPo
- AP
- Reuters
- WSJ
- Social Media Live Coverage

Quote from: Coco on August 26, 2016, 01:27:04 AM

Quote from: Azumarill on August 25, 2016, 10:29:55 PM

Quote from: Icy on August 25, 2016, 09:52:44 PM

> People are still complaining about a game released three years ago.

We get it, Bungie fucked up. If you're still mad over it, to the point of turning a thread about raising money for charity into a complaint thread, I think you may need to rethink some things.

OT: Good for them. I believe this has been done in years past as well, and anything to help is always appreciated.

its been less than 2 years. sep 9 2014.

That's the point to take away from his post.

nope just correcting a mistake.

Thanks.

You're still complaining about a two year old game, as if it's still impacting you in some way. And not even introducing any new arguments or claims.

Less flamboyant in real life.

My dad started an argument with me over Hillary's health and after I picked apart everything he sent me, he sent me link of a guy with an election predicting algorithm that predicted the last 6 elections.

 I googled around and found one that predicted the last 57 (including all elections with winners not chosen by popular vote) and says that Hillary should win easily.  http://www.improbable.com/2016/02/28/the-statistical-un-likelihood-of-donald-trump-analysis-of-a-trump-up-analysis/

Are these legit on the academic level?

I can't specifically say how legit this particular one is, as this is the first I've heard of them.

Normally, I put as much stake in "predictions" for elections as I do for predictions in the sport industry. But who knows

Quote from: Icy on August 24, 2016, 07:11:43 PM

I'll do a detailed look once I get home in an hour.

Quote from: Says who? on August 24, 2016, 06:56:26 PM

Those numbers will go down when Assange releases more emails.

Unlikely, TBH

Unlikely that WikiLeaks will release more dirt on Clinton or unlikely that it will affect her poll numbers?

Little of both.

Assange and WikiLeaks have touted that they've got even more damaging documents on Clinton since before the convention - we're now a month out from then and haven't really had that. Assange did claim on The Kelly File this hour that they are planning a release tonight, so we'll see if that materializes.

On the larger spectrum, WikiLeaks isn't the organization that it once was a couple years ago. Today, it's coming under fire for publishing documents that outs the name of rape victims, gay men in Saudi Arabia, and mental health patients. It's owner continues to remain in exile in the Ecuadorian (?) Embassy, and it's hardly the only well known whistler blower site these days. It's just the one with the most infamy.

In terms of the polling, we're almost one month out from the end of the Democratic and Republic conventions, and roughly one month out from the first debate. Although there is still an ample amount of time before the election, the window of time where people truly remain undecided and more willing to switch to the other candidate is quickly diminishing. And that's bad news for both Trump, and outside entities like WikiLeaks who hope to change the narrative.

Whoever gives me $50 will know who Groot is

Blah blah, stop it. Blah blah, warning.

Time to go back and play some MCC

As Reported by the New York Times

LAS VEGAS — Donald J. Trump has shaken up his presidential campaign for the second time in two months, hiring a top executive from the conservative website Breitbart News and promoting a senior adviser in an effort to right his faltering campaign.

Stephen Bannon, the executive chairman of Breitbart News LLC, will become the Republican campaign’s chief executive, and Kellyanne Conway, a senior adviser and pollster for Mr. Trump and his running mate, Gov. Mike Pence of Indiana, will become the campaign manager.

Paul Manafort, the campaign chairman, will retain his title. But the staffing change, hammered out on Sunday and set to be formally announced Wednesday morning, was seen by some as a demotion for Mr. Manafort.

The news, first reported by The Wall Street Journal, was confirmed early Wednesday by Ms. Conway in a brief interview, but she rejected the idea that the changes amounted to a shake-up and said that Mr. Manafort was not being diminished.

“It’s an expansion at a busy time in the final stretch of the campaign,” she said, adding that Mr. Manafort and his deputy, Rick Gates, would remain in their roles.

“We met as the ‘core four’ today,” Ms. Conway added, referring to herself, Mr. Bannon, Mr. Manafort and Mr. Gates.

People briefed on the move said that it reflected Mr. Trump’s realization that his campaign was at a crisis point. But it indicates that the candidate — who has chafed at making the types of changes his current aides have asked for, even though he had acknowledged they would need to occur — has decided to embrace his aggressive style for the duration of the race.

Both Ms. Conway and Mr. Bannon, whose news organization has been very favorable to Mr. Trump since he entered the primaries, are close with Robert and Rebekah Mercer, the father-and-daughter conservative donors who have become allies of the candidate and are funding a “super PAC” that is working against Hillary Clinton.

Ms. Conway has past presidential experience in primary races, but the role in a general election represents a new one for her. She is well liked by Mr. Trump’s daughter Ivanka and her husband, Jared Kushner, who had been serving as the de facto campaign manager.

Mr. Bannon has no experience with political campaigns, but he represents the type of bare-knuckled fighter that the candidate had in Corey Lewandowski, his combative former campaign manager, who was fired on June 20.

Mr. Bannon has been a supporter of Mr. Trump’s pugilistic instincts, which the candidate has made clear in interviews he is uncertain about suppressing. He is also deeply mistrustful of the political establishment, and his website has often been critical of Speaker Paul D. Ryan and Senator Mitch McConnell, the majority leader.

Rudolph W. Giuliani, the former mayor of New York City who has become a close Trump adviser, has also urged the candidate to dig in and prepare to fight harder, and in a more focused way, in what has quickly become one of the nastiest presidential campaigns in modern United States history.

Mr. Manafort, who had initially been hired to steer Mr. Trump through what appeared to be a protracted fight for delegates, rose in power after repeated clashes with Mr. Lewandowski.

Mr. Lewandowski was ultimately fired with the help of Mr. Trump’s adult children, who believed the campaign manager was trying to spread negative stories about Mr. Kushner.

Mr. Lewandowski, now a paid CNN commentator, has denied that that was the case, and he and Mr. Trump still speak frequently, with the candidate seeking his advice.

Mr. Lewandowski’s troubles began, in part, when he was accused by a female Breitbart reporter, who worked for Mr. Bannon, of grabbing her roughly after a news conference at one of his Florida properties. He was charged with assault, but prosecutors declined to proceed with the case, which was dropped.

People briefed on the reshuffling were adamant that Mr. Trump’s children would seek to block a return by Mr. Lewandowski. And they insisted that staff departures resulting from the changes would be few.

The candidate has bucked efforts to rein in his impulsive behavior, committing repeated gaffes after telling his aides he planned to adopt a more presidential tone.

Between this and continuing polling data, the ship continues to sink

Cold Brew is incredibly superior to traditional iced coffee.

I'm on android.

I found the problem

Rumor on the block is we're getting a new Raichu

We live in Florida, so it isn't legal, but would discussing this with her therapist be a mistake? I know the therapist wouldn't tell the police or anything, but could she tell our parents?

I'm pretty sure that patient confidentiality in Florida is the same as it is here in New York - and drug use doesn't fall under an exception to said policy, even for minors. Unless she is suicidal, homicidal, a victim of abuse (Sexual or not), etc, her therapist is not allowed to disclose anything your sister does not want shared.

Here's more on that policy.

Don't get me started.