With the current geopolitical climate in mind, how likely is the prospect of nuclear war now?

Mordo · November 26, 2015, 09:00:57 AM

What with the situation in the Middle East and tensions with Russia, are we regressing back to the days of The Cold War again?

challengerX · November 26, 2015, 09:04:15 AM

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Cindy · November 26, 2015, 09:11:41 AM

Not.

If ISIS wasn't universally hated and actually had a national founding/recognition as anything more than a terrorist group, then maybe

Turkey · November 26, 2015, 09:11:57 AM

I'm kind of surprised we haven't seen any usage of nukes at all, especially tactical warheads.

Anonymous (User Deleted) · November 26, 2015, 09:36:24 AM

nope

cxfhvxgkcf-56:7 · November 26, 2015, 10:07:44 AM

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Luciana · November 26, 2015, 10:37:35 AM

YouTube

Ginger · November 26, 2015, 11:18:00 AM

I do not think we are regressing into a Cold War era. There are too many unknown ramifications.

ΚΑΤΑΝΑΛΩΤΗΣ · November 26, 2015, 11:19:41 AM

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Luciana · November 26, 2015, 11:37:34 AM

Quote from: Cyrus on November 26, 2015, 11:19:41 AM

Nah. Geopolitics right now are far more complex than they were during the cold war.

But they're about as complex as they were with World War 1

cxfhvxgkcf-56:7 · November 26, 2015, 11:39:47 AM

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Super Irish · November 26, 2015, 12:14:03 PM

Unlikely.

We're still waiting to set the bar for the "minimum excuse" to use a nuclear weapon, and no one remotely sensible wants to be the first to get internationally condemned and then subsequently invaded/nuked. Until we get a World War (which given the technological advances in military hardware over the last 70 years is unlikely to resemble a conventional World War), I doubt nuclear weapons on par with Fatman/Little Boy will be used again for a looong time.

Bunker busters and whatever else is nuclear on a sub-kiloton level will likely be used sooner, though that may ramp up the tensions towards going full nuclear.

eggsalad · November 26, 2015, 12:43:23 PM

ICBMs have no practical use for any nation with sufficient means to use them.

Luciana · November 26, 2015, 01:29:04 PM

Quote from: SoporificSlash on November 26, 2015, 11:39:47 AM

Quote from: Luciana on November 26, 2015, 11:37:34 AM
Quote from: Cyrus on November 26, 2015, 11:19:41 AM
Nah. Geopolitics right now are far more complex than they were during the cold war.
But they're about as complex as they were with World War 1
But the geopolitics of World War 1 were intensely complex

yeah that's what I'm getting at

So is what we have now

More Than Mortal · November 26, 2015, 06:27:57 PM

We're approaching the time when undesirable groups, such as ISIS, has a minimal nuclear capacity. Dirty dombs in cities, perhaps even Western cities, is bound to be a reality provided they don't implode. We're also approaching a time when undesirable states, such as Iran, could develop a significant nuclear capacity.

Winy · November 26, 2015, 08:34:42 PM

Nuclear war is extremely unlikely.

Everybody knows that the consequence of using nuclear weapons is devastating, and I mean for whatever country decides to use them.