Turns out welfare reduces the level of household savings

 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.


Or it's at least correlated with such a trend.

Ah well, all the more reason to not want a big fuck-off welfare state.


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That's a dubious conclusion. Was there any hypothesis testing in this research, or just a graph?


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
That's a dubious conclusion. Was there any hypothesis testing in this research, or just a graph?
Not on my part; I read an article by Alan Greenspan which enunciated the correlation so I see if it fit a graph.

There is, however, also this 2001 and apparently little known study by the University of Chicago which essentially makes the same point:
Quote
Alternatively, by providing households with a consumption floor during times of temporary unemployment spells or subsidizing medical care when the household experiences a health shock, governmental welfare policies could reduce the household’s income uncertainty and thus reduce their need to save for precautionary reasons irrespective of discount rates (Hubbard et al. 1995; Gruber and Yelowitz 1999; Neumark and Powers 1998; Ziliak 2001). The high replacement rate of income provided by Social Security for low lifetime-income households can reduce their need to save for lifecycle reasons. Aside from decreasing precautionary or lifecycle motives to save, government welfare policies may have additional β€˜direct’ effects on household saving incentives. In order to receive many forms of government assistance, households may not have accumulated assets above the federal or state mandated limits.

edit: fucking formatting
Last Edit: February 24, 2015, 02:58:17 PM by Meta Cognition


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
I'm not advancing this as a solid hypothesis, though. It's just an interesting phenomenon to note; there may not be a link between the two, but I'm inclined to think there is. Even if its as minimal as government transfers depressing normally low levels of household savings.


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Um...duh? Of course when people are receiving welfare benefits, they aren't just throwing it in the bank.

Maybe I'm missing the point. Economics isn't my strong suit.


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It seems from the 2001 study you linked that savings are decreasing with the rise of welfare because, as welfare programs increase, equity limits are being relaxed, allowing people to spend more on vehicle assets (i.e., dumping more money into their cars).

Though the significance level was high, the actual effect seemed to be relatively marginal.
Last Edit: February 24, 2015, 03:29:52 PM by HurtfulTurkey


 
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This is the way the world ends. Not with a bang but a whimper.
It seems from the 2001 study you linked that savings are decreasing with the rise of welfare because, as welfare programs increase, equity limits are being relaxed, allowing people to spend more on vehicle assets (i.e., dumping more money into their cars).

Though the significance level was high, the actual effect seemed to be relatively marginal.
Thanks for clarifying; I didn't get the opportunity to read it properly and must admit I was playing fast and loose with that paper >.>

I haven't properly looked into the mechanics behind savings rates so I'm still fumbling around in the darkness somewhat.