Is this the same gallup that said Hillary has 98% chance of winning the election.
Quote from: Karjala takaisin on January 30, 2017, 01:07:26 PMIs this the same gallup that said Hillary has 98% chance of winning the election.Yes, 98%, not 100%. Probability is funny like that; as it turns out, "unlikely" doesn't mean "impossible".Approval ratings aren't probability, though. You could argue that it's not quite as low as seen given the ±3% margin of error, but then you're still looking at a 46% approval rating at the highest as of the 29th of January. It's not localized in say, Atlanta or Los Angeles, where they would likely be much lower; 1,500 US Adults have been surveyed nationally on a daily basis since the 23rd.I understand being skeptical of news media given the awful coverage of the election, but if you're going to throw a source out entirely because they didn't start shouting to the public that Trump was a sure thing then you're only hurting yourself intellectually.
Quote from: Aria on January 30, 2017, 01:44:14 PMQuote from: Karjala takaisin on January 30, 2017, 01:07:26 PMIs this the same gallup that said Hillary has 98% chance of winning the election.Yes, 98%, not 100%. Probability is funny like that; as it turns out, "unlikely" doesn't mean "impossible".Approval ratings aren't probability, though. You could argue that it's not quite as low as seen given the ±3% margin of error, but then you're still looking at a 46% approval rating at the highest as of the 29th of January. It's not localized in say, Atlanta or Los Angeles, where they would likely be much lower; 1,500 US Adults have been surveyed nationally on a daily basis since the 23rd.I understand being skeptical of news media given the awful coverage of the election, but if you're going to throw a source out entirely because they didn't start shouting to the public that Trump was a sure thing then you're only hurting yourself intellectually.It was a question. I still don't trust that. I think the approval rate will rise when he begins to deliver his promises.
Quote from: Karjala takaisin on January 30, 2017, 10:56:49 PMQuote from: Aria on January 30, 2017, 01:44:14 PMQuote from: Karjala takaisin on January 30, 2017, 01:07:26 PMIs this the same gallup that said Hillary has 98% chance of winning the election.Yes, 98%, not 100%. Probability is funny like that; as it turns out, "unlikely" doesn't mean "impossible".Approval ratings aren't probability, though. You could argue that it's not quite as low as seen given the ±3% margin of error, but then you're still looking at a 46% approval rating at the highest as of the 29th of January. It's not localized in say, Atlanta or Los Angeles, where they would likely be much lower; 1,500 US Adults have been surveyed nationally on a daily basis since the 23rd.I understand being skeptical of news media given the awful coverage of the election, but if you're going to throw a source out entirely because they didn't start shouting to the public that Trump was a sure thing then you're only hurting yourself intellectually.It was a question. I still don't trust that. I think the approval rate will rise when he begins to deliver his promises.What's he been doing this first week?
Quote from: Alternative Facts on January 30, 2017, 11:00:39 PMQuote from: Karjala takaisin on January 30, 2017, 10:56:49 PMQuote from: Aria on January 30, 2017, 01:44:14 PMQuote from: Karjala takaisin on January 30, 2017, 01:07:26 PMIs this the same gallup that said Hillary has 98% chance of winning the election.Yes, 98%, not 100%. Probability is funny like that; as it turns out, "unlikely" doesn't mean "impossible".Approval ratings aren't probability, though. You could argue that it's not quite as low as seen given the ±3% margin of error, but then you're still looking at a 46% approval rating at the highest as of the 29th of January. It's not localized in say, Atlanta or Los Angeles, where they would likely be much lower; 1,500 US Adults have been surveyed nationally on a daily basis since the 23rd.I understand being skeptical of news media given the awful coverage of the election, but if you're going to throw a source out entirely because they didn't start shouting to the public that Trump was a sure thing then you're only hurting yourself intellectually.It was a question. I still don't trust that. I think the approval rate will rise when he begins to deliver his promises.What's he been doing this first week?More than Obama in the last 8 years.
I was still in high school eight years ago. How active was Obama in his first couple of weeks?
More than Obama in the last 8 years.
Quote from: Ian on January 30, 2017, 11:04:59 PMI was still in high school eight years ago. How active was Obama in his first couple of weeks?That's a very good question. I myself was pretty young.
Hillary won the popular vote by a landslide.
Alex Jones has a video where Trump won the popular vote when you ignore the illegal immigrants that voted.
Quote from: Karjala takaisin on January 31, 2017, 12:16:49 AMAlex Jones has a video where Trump won the popular vote when you ignore the illegal immigrants that voted.He really just used Alex Jones as a source.
3 Million out of 128 million that was cast is not a landslide, nor was it her ignoring where she needed the electoral votes. Trump merely was able to flip states that were considered blue strongholds. Quote from: MyNameIsCharlie on January 30, 2017, 11:59:41 PMHillary won the popular vote by a landslide.
President Trump hits majority disapproval in record time, Gallup finds
