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Messages - Not Comms Officer
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121
« on: May 23, 2015, 05:28:58 PM »
Ariha will fall soon. The entire of Idlib will fall to al Qaeda within a matter of months. But don't worry...al Qaeda is supposedly dead. Also, in the past, you used to mock how the rebels couldn't touch Idlib city. Funny how things change.
Not gonna debate that. The fact that the regime is still in Idlib is complete fucking idiocy. They should have abandoned that entire front once Idlib fell. That was pretty much their sole reason for being there. But instead, it's looking like Tiger Forces might get obliterated. That's possible, but it'll be difficult. The main road between Dimashq and Deir al Zour is now gone for the SAA. The highway between Tadmur and Deir ez-Zor has been cut off for years. Any land supply they had with Deir ez-Zor was by sending trucks through the desert. Their situation now is the same as what it was then, but with a far longer and more dangerous route. So yeah, possible but more difficult. I said "major." T4, while significant, would not be as major as the fall of Deir al Zour. And you're right, the best Republican Guard is there, the best Republican Guard commander is there, the defensive perimeter is solid, etc. However, this is based around the conditions they can be resupplied frequently. When that is cut off, or limited, it will become easier over time for the Islamic State to penetrate the defenses and eventually take the rest of the city.
I don't really see IS doing anything major other than that unless they begin to make significant headway in Aleppo.
T4 falling is pretty much a death sentence for SAA garrisons in Deir ez-Zor, Qamishli, and Hasakah. And it cripples the SyAAF because of all the aircraft stored there, and the regime's air supremacy is their sole decisive advantage left over the rebels. And IS's success in Tadmur was due to a significant extent towards them withdrawing a significant number of soldiers from the Aleppo front, so it's not likely that they'll have any advances there.
122
« on: May 23, 2015, 05:23:41 PM »
Oh god, world peace is never gonna happen. People start wars against eachother for the most retarded reasons.
123
« on: May 23, 2015, 05:22:16 PM »
They need to get the fucking border secured, for starters. It's all well and good to say Iraq and Syria need to fight their own battles, but a steady flow of supplies and arms into Iraqi cities controlled by ISIS coupled with Iraq's poorly-trained and ill-equipped army means that strategy will ultimately see Iraq swallowed by ISIS, used as a staging ground against the Syrian front.
We need more SOF teams, more airstrikes, and boots on the ground. Hesitancy to deploy troops because of an upcoming campaign is holding back progress.
That's a pretty tall order when the Syrian and Iraqi Government control literally none of their borders with eachother. And the Syrian/Iraqi Armies are similarly poorly-trained and ill-equipped. But on the other hand, IS doesn't have the manpower, mobility, or resources needed to take either Baghdad or Damascus in the foreseeable future.
124
« on: May 23, 2015, 05:19:42 PM »
Yes. JTAC's and offensive SOF forces in Iraq are desperately needed.
As for Syria, I have no fucking clue. FSA is so irrelevant now and I don't think we're serious about building it back up. Al Qaeda basically owns the opposition now.
For Syria, there is one idea I can think of for ground proxies to back (which the US has already backed to some extent). Ever heard of Euphrates Volcano? They've been operating in Kobane canton with the YPG, and they're fighting exclusively against IS. But then there's the whole thing of Turkey supporting IS, as well as them sharing the only land border with Kobane.
Yeah, I've heard of them. For the record, I'm an official analyst now. A good portion of my job deals with Syria--there isn't much I haven't heard of there.
I support funding them, but they won't be an army. We would need a large-scale fighting force to fight both IS and the Assad regime, which can't happen. I know you support Assad, which is fine, but I'm not going to debate who you or I should support. We've been down this road before and got nowhere.
I also support funding and arming the YPG, but like other Kurdish groups, they couldn't care less about anything other than Kurdistan. So, we don't really have a Syria strategy, and to be honest, I don't know what one would look like right now.
Actually, I'm an opposition supporter now. Watched several videos about what Syria was like before the war, and I realized that Assad is a monster. There needs to be some sort of way to instigate a military coup in Syria, since the Assad family has proven time and time again that they aren't willing to seriously negotiate an end to the war. And shit, you're an official analyst now? Are you working for any institution, or are you just an independent analyst?
125
« on: May 23, 2015, 05:15:16 PM »
>tfw you get a free job without having to submit an application
:^)
126
« on: May 23, 2015, 05:02:28 PM »
Yes. JTAC's and offensive SOF forces in Iraq are desperately needed.
As for Syria, I have no fucking clue. FSA is so irrelevant now and I don't think we're serious about building it back up. Al Qaeda basically owns the opposition now.
For Syria, there is one idea I can think of for ground proxies to back (which the US has already backed to some extent). Ever heard of Euphrates Volcano? They've been operating in Kobane canton with the YPG, and they're fighting exclusively against IS. But then there's the whole thing of Turkey supporting IS, as well as them sharing the only land border with Kobane.
127
« on: May 23, 2015, 05:01:25 PM »
Islam wins again.
Behead those who insult Islam!
128
« on: May 23, 2015, 04:59:27 PM »
Holy shit you're conceding defeat. You'd have never done that in the past 
Some things changed and I'm not a regime supporter anymore.  But seriously, I think you're underestimating just how much al Qaeda and its allies have gained in recent months. In fact, you didn't even mention them at all. They now control all of Idlib (nominally right now. Give it time and they will take over whatever the regime has left near the Al Ghab plains), and control significant swaths in Daraa and Quneitra. Regime still has some outposts in Ariha and al-Ghab plain, but their position is collapsing there. Idlib was always a backwater front for the regime, and losses of Idlib and Jisr ash-Shughur wouldn't have been so devastating for the regime if they didn't pour so many resources into it. They should have abandoned their Idlib salient months ago as it would have freed tons of soldiers and shortened their lines a great deal. But instead of that, they transfer special forces from Tadmur to their front in Idlib which is rapidly falling apart. But the fact that IS has been able to mount more offensives in Syria is also worrying. The most important of which was taking Tadmur. This essentially shuts the SAA forces in Deir al Zour off from aid from Damascus by land. They could try to fly aid into the airbase at Deir al Zour, but that might be limited with the threat of IS anti air. This was more of IS taking advantage of the incompetence of SAA command. Though yeah, the SAA will definitely be able to resupply Deir ez-Zor by air. They could still possibly resupply by land, since most of the area between Damascus and Deir ez-Zor is just desert. So, I think the next major thing to fall to IS in Syria will be Deir al Zour. Which will mean that IS will control all of that province. However, should be noted that Deir al Zour is basically desert but still.
Eh, the Regime has Deir ez-Zor way too fortified. They even have their best Republican Guard brigade stationed there, and that city has proven to be a death trap for IS countless times. The next area that's likely to fall to IS is al-Sha'er gas fields, since its Eastern flank has totally collapsed due to IS's offensive in Tadmur. And after al-Sha'er, T4 airbase would be their next target since that airbase is pretty much what enables any significant air coverage by the SyAAF over Eastern Syria.
129
« on: May 23, 2015, 03:35:11 AM »
130
« on: May 23, 2015, 03:14:02 AM »
Has Evolution gone too far?
Y/N
131
« on: May 23, 2015, 02:28:35 AM »
wwii russia
wwII Russia with or without prep time? And holy shit, I haven't heard that meme in forever.
132
« on: May 23, 2015, 02:28:07 AM »
Ya'll bored again comms?
A little bit, yeah. Got nothing exceptional planned until I start my new job in just over a week.
133
« on: May 23, 2015, 02:18:42 AM »
Oh my God, what the fuck is wrong with WW's chest?
Did you see the XXX part of the title?
did not.
still awful
flat chested porn stars > silicone titty monsters
I can definitely agree with this. Huge tits just take away from everything else.
134
« on: May 23, 2015, 02:05:24 AM »
Just got a warning. No biggie.
And Harlow, you should really be nicer to people. You come in here, non provoked, and start attacking this fine gentleman for no reason. Pathetic really. And you're new here, that's not a very good first impression on people mister.
There's this thing called context.
135
« on: May 23, 2015, 02:01:22 AM »
Who will win this final duel?
136
« on: May 23, 2015, 02:00:19 AM »
Oh my God, what the fuck is wrong with WW's chest?
Did you see the XXX part of the title?
137
« on: May 23, 2015, 01:43:19 AM »
So on account of the fact that IS recently took a hotly-contested Iraqi city (Ramadi) of 500,000 people and a strategic Syrian city (Tadmur) with 200,000 people as well as tons of oil-production facilities surrounding it, I think it's safe to say that America's anti-IS strategy isn't working. So what should the US do differently? The Kurds are too small and too local to make a decisive difference and the Iraqi (sorry gatsby, it's completely true) and Syrian Armies have proven to be completely fucking useless in combat again and again. The best idea I can think of right now would be to allow special forces raids against IS leadership. Nobody on the ground fighting IS is competent or trustworthy enough to rely on, so I think that the idea of deploying soldiers alongside local forces and especially by themselves should be abandoned. Spoiler No SgtMaj, giving arms to the Syrian Rebels won't do shit against IS because the only area they're facing IS in force is at a strategically valueless front to them which they've abandoned in all but name by now.
138
« on: May 23, 2015, 12:38:00 AM »
I support the court's decision fully. Rejecting service based on feelings is idiotic. This goes for both sides of the issue. Rejecting service to people based on arbitrary reasons should be made illegal.
>Shilling this hard for state control
Damn, you got me. I'm actually an FBI agent. This forum appears to be recruitment center for terrorist activities (namely ISIS), so we're gonna have to shut this place down.
139
« on: May 22, 2015, 11:34:57 PM »
Naru's a fucking nigger. Those are my 2 cents.
140
« on: May 22, 2015, 11:33:24 PM »
I support the court's decision fully. Rejecting service based on feelings is idiotic. This goes for both sides of the issue. Rejecting service to people based on arbitrary reasons should be made illegal.
141
« on: May 22, 2015, 11:26:06 PM »
So this past month has been absolutely horrible for the Syrian Government, and Islamic State has seen a major resurgence. So for the Syrian Government, they've faced this nightmare of a battle where they've lost several urban areas, and Assad as well as his best general were essentially humiliated, as they both personally promised to relieve a major Syrian Arab Army garrison besieged in a nearby hospital, but that Hospital fell to Rebel forces just today. The SAA garrison fled, but well over half of them didn't make the ~5km journey back to SAA lines. Even worse for the Syrian Government (and far more strategically devastating) was this major offensive from IS. Along with taking a major urban area (~200,000) from the SAA, they took most of the Syrian Government's remaining oil fields, so their capability to deploy and utilize armor and aircraft which were pretty much what was keeping them in the war will be seriously hampered in the near-future. There's a lot more background behind these massive defeats, but I'd rather not write a 30-page essay on it. tl;dr: Assad dun goofed hardcore and IS is resurgent after 7 months of taking massive losses
142
« on: May 22, 2015, 11:18:36 PM »
Pretty compelling storyline, but it's no PSU Visits England.
Did PSU Visits England actually happen though? And I take it that the storyline for that is pretty much what I think it is.
143
« on: May 22, 2015, 11:16:37 PM »
Who were you again? :/
Not a fun person to be around with. Oh and she hates America to death.
America is kind of dumb
That's kind of
an understatement.
144
« on: May 22, 2015, 11:14:13 PM »
Some of my work directly relates to Iran's proxies in Iraq, but I also know a great deal about Iran's relationship with al Qaeda--which they also use in pursuit of regional hegemony. I can read it and offer some constructive criticism.
ayy look who's here!!! Now I have someone I can discuss the Middle East with. And about Iran's relationship with al-Qaeda, are you referring to Assad's (who's pretty much an Iranian puppet now) support for al-Qaeda during the Iraq War, or are you referring to a more direct connection that I'm not aware of?
145
« on: May 22, 2015, 11:12:28 PM »
And it's a well--respected educational center on top of that. I got into a manager position without having to go through any interviews or even submitting a resume. And this is my first real job on top of it all. $10/hr, so the pay's not too bad saying that I'm barely 20. Lol. #truestorybro Spoiler Obviously there's a lot more context to this than just what I said, but it's still pretty funny. For the sake of discussion value, discuss some crazy shit that happened to you whether it's positive or negative.
146
« on: May 19, 2015, 05:05:07 AM »
So like Fallout 2 where there were fewer than 10 significant settlements in all of Northern California, Western Nevada, and Southern Oregon?
Fun.
Good game still, just from a different era.
147
« on: May 19, 2015, 04:23:55 AM »
Those stats are retarded. W/L is the only stat that matters.
>implying I'll even play you when your K/D is less than 3.22
Scrub.
>3.22
disgraceful
Solid 4.0+ or go home.
Or in my case never leave home ;_;
My kdr is 69.42. GomL FagGotS
148
« on: May 19, 2015, 04:21:43 AM »
most in-equal country in the EU
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/report-finds-that-britains-wages-are-the-most-unequal-in-europe-10259077.html
at least our economy is good right?
Inequality is literally nonsense. Lefties and social democrats love to pull out these statistics and go "Look at how fucked we are", despite the fact you only have a snapshot of a single time-frame and income is a shit metric anyway.
Just look at America, something like just 3pc of the bottom quintile stay in the bottom quintile for over seven years.
That doesn't mean anything, since the 2nd lowest quintile is barely worth more than the bottom one. And the middle one is worth just a wee bit more than the 2nd lowest. Pretty much, you're poor if you're in the bottom 50% and are not living in an incredibly cheap neighborhood. Hell, I'm in the top 5%, and my household can barely have hot water on just to save extra money. The inequality in the US is practically criminal.
149
« on: May 19, 2015, 04:12:30 AM »
Political parties are almost a necessity in our current state of democracy. Other solutions would basically be unworkable. Having a mere two party system, however, is definitely not a smart thing.
The two-party system that we see in the US evolved over a gradual period of time.
Oh I know. Doesn't make it any less of a broken system though.
It's total fucking bullshit. DEATH TO AMERICA
150
« on: May 19, 2015, 03:39:50 AM »
Political parties are almost a necessity in our current state of democracy. Other solutions would basically be unworkable. Having a mere two party system, however, is definitely not a smart thing.
The two-party system that we see in the US evolved over a gradual period of time.
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