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Messages - Turkey

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4531
Serious / Re: Rand Paul wants to dissolve the Fed.
« on: September 22, 2015, 05:04:12 PM »
The republican party is like one big mental asylum

I'd argue that the democrats are even worse. Given that the front runner as of now seems to be Hillary "Female Nixon but worse" Clinton.

Nixon was actually pretty good up until Watergate.

4532
Serious / Re: Rand Paul wants to dissolve the Fed.
« on: September 22, 2015, 10:15:08 AM »
Milton Friedman (PBUH) supported replacing the Fed with a mathematics/computer-based system.
Friedman disavowed his prior policy recommendations when it came to Fed targeting the money supply later in life, but the idea of rules rather than discretion being used isn't taboo among economists. Many of them do indeed think monetary policy should be conducted along the lines of certain rules; but as you say, this isn't the same as actually abolishing the Fed and returning to a gold standard, or implementing a free banking system.

Hold up, does Paul actually believe in reverting to a gold standard?

4533
Serious / Re: Rand Paul wants to dissolve the Fed.
« on: September 22, 2015, 09:53:52 AM »
I think he's going for the rationale that a free market will tend to correct problems naturally without government influence.
My point being very few economists agree with him, and the evidence for this is practically non-existent.

Milton Friedman (PBUH) supported replacing the Fed with a mathematics/computer-based system. Though I don't think that's at all the same as Paul's claim that the market will just fix itself.

4534
Serious / Re: Rand Paul wants to dissolve the Fed.
« on: September 22, 2015, 09:32:56 AM »

Basically, we had a housing bubble due to a number of bad incentives and a poor regulatory structure, which was then popped when the fed began tightening in 2007 which led to a consumption shock. The Fed didn't offset this consumption shock, tightened even more and then plunged the country into an even deeper recession. Falling nGDP probably made the issue with toxic mortgage debt in the financial system worse, and the banking system began to collapse.

This is not a very convincing defense of the Fed.
It's not supposed to be; almost all Recessions are due to mistakes in monetary policy. It's also the case that almost all Recessions are solved by monetary stimulus. Paul has no evidence for this "homeostatic" correction mechanism, and thinking that because the Fed fails quite substantially numerous times we'd be better off without it is a dangerous idea at best.

I think he's going for the rationale that a free market will tend to correct problems naturally without government influence.

4535
Serious / Re: Rand Paul wants to dissolve the Fed.
« on: September 22, 2015, 09:08:18 AM »

Basically, we had a housing bubble due to a number of bad incentives and a poor regulatory structure, which was then popped when the fed began tightening in 2007 which led to a consumption shock. The Fed didn't offset this consumption shock, tightened even more and then plunged the country into an even deeper recession. Falling nGDP probably made the issue with toxic mortgage debt in the financial system worse, and the banking system began to collapse.

This is not a very convincing defense of the Fed.

4536
The Flood / Re: Im having a hard time staying awake in class
« on: September 22, 2015, 09:06:30 AM »
Sleeping pills at night, coffee in the morning.

Or you can cheat school entirely and use those Performance enhancing drugs that became a fad for students in 2013 during study.

Ritalin is great. I took it for one semester in college and aced every test. Can be habit-forming, though.

4537
The Flood / Re: Im having a hard time staying awake in class
« on: September 22, 2015, 08:51:45 AM »
Drink coffee.

4538
Serious / Rand Paul wants to dissolve the Fed.
« on: September 22, 2015, 08:44:03 AM »
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/only-fed-would-get-out-way-dr-rand-paul?redirectFromSplash=true


Quote
In 2000 the stock market, bloated by earlier Fed rate cuts, started falling when the tech bubble burst. Markets bottomed out in 2002, as the Fed slashed rates. Although people hailed then-chairman Alan Greenspan as “the Maestro” for providing a so-called soft landing, in hindsight he simply replaced the dot-com bubble with a housing bubble.

When the housing bubble eventually burst, the crisis was much worse than in 2000. When Lehman Brothers failed in September 2008, it seemed as if the whole financial infrastructure was in jeopardy. And Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke followed the same playbook: cut interest rates.

When near-zero-percent interest rates did not jump-start the economy, the Fed launched a series of “quantitative easing” (QE) programs, buying unprecedented amounts of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities. The Fed has roughly quintupled its balance sheet, going from $905 billion in early September 2008 to almost $4.5 trillion today.

[...]

At its core, the market economy is a homeostatic mechanism that self-corrects by cleansing mistakes from the system. When policy makers—in the Fed or Congress—try to spare us from all pain, they cripple that mechanism and ironically make the system vulnerable to a major crash.

Can't say I agree.

4539
The Flood / Re: Have you ever walked out of a movie?
« on: September 21, 2015, 10:23:18 PM »
I don't know, it doesn't seem right to me. Like, at all. Because... it's not their fault the movie sucked.

I guess I'd have to know the dividends and shit first. How much of the money goes to the studio itself?

It's kind of like returning a game to Gamestop within their trial period. If it sucks, it's not Gamestop's fault, but their business exists to distribute the work of others. And ultimately, they're going to keep the money in-house by providing a different ticket, which is another opportunity for concession sales (as well as to keep a dissatisfied customer).

4540
The Flood / Re: Have you ever walked out of a movie?
« on: September 21, 2015, 10:11:49 PM »
You don't lose your money; if you leave before halfway they'll usually refund your ticket or replace it with a free ticket for something else.
Never heard of this. I probably couldn't bring myself to do that anyway. Seems entitled.

It is entitled. You're the consumer of their service, and if what they're providing isn't up to what you wanted, you're entitled to a refund.

If you've seen Bruno, you probably understand why I left.

4541
The Flood / Re: What will you tell your kids about Santa?
« on: September 21, 2015, 09:11:40 PM »
I'm open to adoption.

Well, I'm ajar to adoption.

This is the best turn of phrase I've seen on this site.

4542
The Flood / Re: What will you tell your kids about Santa?
« on: September 21, 2015, 08:58:06 PM »
mhmmm I don't know OP lying to my kid not appealing neither

It's not, but I think all but the most liberal parents would say parenting has a large degree of censorship and lying, basically. You'll tell them Disney princes and The Avengers are real, at least for a while. You'll probably tell them they can accomplish anything, too. That's a lie too. You won't play graphic media around them and you'll avoid swearing. That's also a lie, in a way.

4543
Serious / Re: "I hate what marijuana does to my students"
« on: September 21, 2015, 08:55:46 PM »
Pretty much every other drug, alcohol included, has very tangible negative effects; alcoholism is a huge factor in college dropouts, and hard drug abuse is much more apparent than marijuana use. I don't think it's wise to address such a subtle effect the same way we do for hard drugs and alcohol.


4544
The Flood / Re: What will you tell your kids about Santa?
« on: September 21, 2015, 08:52:21 PM »
Say that Santa exists because I much rather they retain their innocence than get the appreciation from them
I'm not a douche
I can handle not getting attention from children
Because that is what needs to happen
Because sometimes, the truth isn't good enough
Sometimes, people deserve more
Sometimes, people deserve to have their faith rewarded

At what point does it become unethical to lie to your kid about what reality is?

4545
The Flood / Re: What will you tell your kids about Santa?
« on: September 21, 2015, 08:48:23 PM »
my parents never let me or my brothers believe in any of that shit, and i'll be doing the same with my kids. gotta make sure they appreciate what their parents do for them by spending lots of money on gifts every year, instead of thanking some imaginary old fat guy who sneaks into people's homes through their basement and eats their cookies.

Children don't develop empathy until around age 8, meaning they don't give a shit how hard you work to buy them gifts. Using Santa allows you to provide an external frame of reference for what gifts they should/shouldn't get, while also providing incentive to behave.

4546
The Flood / Re: What will you tell your kids about Santa?
« on: September 21, 2015, 08:46:07 PM »
Depends if Santa is in or not

Ah, the ol' 'let society tell me how to raise my child' approach. I dig it.

4547
The Flood / What will you tell your kids about Santa?
« on: September 21, 2015, 08:44:04 PM »
Will you give them the chance to experience childlike wonder and appreciation of creativity, fairy tales, and magic, or will you treat them like adults and refuse to spread a pernicious lie that will fundamentally erode their trust in you?

ITT I criticize your position, regardless of what it is.

4548
Serious / Re: people like this require the death penalty
« on: September 21, 2015, 04:33:52 PM »
I normally try to avoid jumping on news bandwagons, but I can't think of a single legitimate reason for such an absurd price hike.  He'll have to produce some very compelling profit data to justify this, because it sounds like fucking bullshit.

4549
Serious / Re: "I hate what marijuana does to my students"
« on: September 21, 2015, 04:14:52 PM »
And that's why we have minimum age requirements.

Sounds like college students. I don't think this observation is really limited to teens.

4550
Serious / "I hate what marijuana does to my students"
« on: September 21, 2015, 03:52:17 PM »


Quote
“I hate pot. I hate it even more than hard drugs. I’ve taught high school for 25 years and I hate what marijuana does to my students. It goes beyond missing homework assignments. My students become less curious when they start smoking pot. I’ve seen it time and time again. People say pot makes you more creative, but from what I’ve seen, it narrows my students' minds until they only reference the world in relation to the drug. They’ll say things like: “I went to the beach and got so high,” or “I went to a concert and got so high.” They start choosing their friends based on the drug. I hate when people say that it’s just experimenting. Because from what I’ve seen, it’s when my students stop experimenting.”

Discuss.

Spoiler
I've never tried pot so I really have no way to judge his opinion but it seems fairly consistent with other opponents to full legalization of pot. For the record, I am in favor of legalization.

4551
The Flood / Re: Have you ever walked out of a movie?
« on: September 21, 2015, 03:46:47 PM »
Walked out of Bruno.

Also walked out of Her, not because it's a bad film (it's not) but because the audience was annoying. Constant giggling at the sex scenes, and lots of heckling. Very immature.

You don't lose your money; if you leave before halfway they'll usually refund your ticket or replace it with a free ticket for something else.

4552
Gaming / Re: >People still claim Reach has no redeeming qualities
« on: September 21, 2015, 03:45:07 PM »
I liked the story.

4553
Well who hasn't?

4554
Because we're supposed to know?

Speculate.

4555
Serious / Re: The Concorde jets may get another chance at flying
« on: September 21, 2015, 09:35:54 AM »
Supersonic craft were not cost efficient for the operators (if I'm remembering things right)

The staggering fuel cost to go supersonic is exactly what makes it so damn fun, though.

4556
Gaming / Re: Fuck it, lets give Destiny one, more try.
« on: September 21, 2015, 09:33:38 AM »

You get an item that boosts you to 25 anyway so you can jump right into TTK

Is this for all new characters?

4557
Gaming / What's with Bethesda showing almost no new footage of Fallout 4?
« on: September 21, 2015, 09:32:57 AM »
I'm not questioning that the game is polished or whatever, I just think it's really odd that for what appears to be a huge, dynamic, and varied environment we've only seen about 5 minutes into the start of the game. Usually we'd get some sort of gameplay montage showing various builds and plot elements, but even the trailer is largely limited to one of the first encounters (using the power armor).

Maybe they're doing it to keep hype up (somehow), but it's kind of annoying to see them release new videos and press packages with literally the same videos over and over.

4558
The Flood / Re: if you refer to the internet as "the net" or "the web"
« on: September 21, 2015, 09:09:55 AM »
YouTube


Only real hackers call it the net.

4559
Serious / Re: Bernie Sanders and TPP
« on: September 21, 2015, 08:10:48 AM »
I wish you'd make a blog that can be shared with others instead of posting on a backwater gaming forum. Good post, though.

4560
The Flood / Re: Do you believe in the multiverse?
« on: September 20, 2015, 10:47:50 PM »
Maybe in the limitations that many other universe exist within our same 'space', as in not parallel universes but neighboring ones, like neighboring galaxies. There's absolutely no evidence for any other theory, so I don't see a point in believing in one.

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