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Messages - Alternative Facts
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991
« on: October 24, 2016, 04:39:04 PM »
I'm tired of election threads, so lets discuss this fun and worthwhile policy theory. For those who don't know it, click here or read the quote 1) Five states legalized abortion three years before Roe v. Wade. Crime started falling three years earlier in these states, with property crime (done by younger people) falling before violent crime.
2) After abortion was legalized, the availability of abortions differed dramatically across states. In some states like North Dakota and in parts of the deep South, it was virtually impossible to get an abortion even after Roe v. Wade. If one compares states that had high abortion rates in the mid 1970s to states that had low abortion rates in the mid 1970s, you see the following patterns with crime. For the period from 1973-1988, the two sets of states (high abortion states and low abortion states) have nearly identical crime patterns. Note, that this is a period before the generations exposed to legalized abortion are old enough to do much crime. So this is exactly what the Donohue-Levitt theory predicts. But from the period 1985-1997, when the post Roe cohort is reaching peak crime ages, the high abortion states see a decline in crime of 30% relative to the low abortion states. Our original data ended in 1997. If one updated the study, the results would be similar.)
3) All of the decline in crime from 1985-1997 experienced by high abortion states relative to low abortion states is concentrated among the age groups born after Roe v. Wade. For people born before abortion legalization, there is no difference in the crime patterns for high abortion and low abortion states, just as the Donohue-Levitt theory predicts.
4) When we compare arrest rates of people born in the same state, just before and just after abortion legalization, we once again see the identical pattern of lower arrest rates for those born after legalization than before.
5) The evidence from Canada, Australia, and Romania also support the hypothesis that abortion reduces crime.
6) Studies have shown a reduction in infanticide, teen age drug use, and teen age childbearing consistent with the theory that abortion will reduce other social ills similar to crime.
These six points all support the hypothesis. There is one fact that, without more careful analysis, argues against the Donohue-Levitt story:
7) The homicide rate of young males (especially young Black males) temporarily skyrocketed in the late 1980s, especially in urban centers like Los Angeles, New York City, and Washington, DC, before returning to regular levels soon thereafter. These young males who were hitting their peak crime years were born right around the time abortion was legalized.
992
« on: October 22, 2016, 11:38:01 AM »
For anyone wondering Evan McMuffin is probably going to win Utah, and should the electoral college tie the house will probably pick him
Unlikely
993
« on: October 21, 2016, 04:23:07 PM »
They will blame the Russians when Trump wins the election.
What does this have to do with the topic?
994
« on: October 21, 2016, 02:30:21 PM »
My Friday morning gay porn tweets have been disrupted.
It's a sad day.
995
« on: October 21, 2016, 10:06:58 AM »
Why are there so many liberals on this site?
You don't have to be a liberal to realise what a terrible candidate Trump is.
What are you getting from Hillary other than 4 years of Obama?
4 years of not undoing progress made under the Obama administration.
996
« on: October 20, 2016, 12:09:24 PM »
Womanizing? So every man ever? Cause literally every normal man talks like that to their friends.
I like how Trump says something and you just believe it as if its common knowledge. It's not that normal.
Its pretty normal. I could read my group texts from the last 48 hours and its much more "womanizing" than anything Trump has said.
It sounds like college frat boys talking about women. It's not normal for a grown ass man.
Guess my father and his friends are "frat boys".
I guess my uncle and his fellow Vets at the VFW are "frat boys"
I dunno about that, but they sure do sound like immature misogynistic cunts.
Then every man ever is too
Sounding like a feminist.
997
« on: October 19, 2016, 09:16:34 PM »
Stop. You know it. I know it. We all know it.
She is a puppet. She wouldn't change that tax law even if she 100% could.
I'm awaiting an actual rebuttal.
Because doesn't matter if it's Clinton/Reid or Ayotte/McConnell.
One senator can't get shit done on their own, regardless of party.
Thats my rebuttal. She could be the president of the fucking united states.
She isn't changing tax law because of her campaign contributors.
That's nice. Do you honestly expect the man benefitting from the current law to change it either?
If the answer is yes, you're an idiot
If the answer is no, then we've reached an agreement.
No he wouldn't and he shouldn't.
Glad to see we're at half an agreement.
998
« on: October 19, 2016, 09:14:41 PM »
Stop. You know it. I know it. We all know it.
She is a puppet. She wouldn't change that tax law even if she 100% could.
I'm awaiting an actual rebuttal.
Because doesn't matter if it's Clinton/Reid or Ayotte/McConnell.
One senator can't get shit done on their own, regardless of party.
Thats my rebuttal. She could be the president of the fucking united states.
She isn't changing tax law because of her campaign contributors.
That's nice. Do you honestly expect the man benefitting from the current law to change it either? If the answer is yes, you're an idiot If the answer is no, then we've reached an agreement.
999
« on: October 19, 2016, 09:12:22 PM »
Stop. You know it. I know it. We all know it.
She is a puppet. She wouldn't change that tax law even if she 100% could.
I'm awaiting an actual rebuttal. Because doesn't matter if it's Clinton/Reid or Ayotte/McConnell. One senator can't get shit done on their own, regardless of party.
1000
« on: October 19, 2016, 09:11:06 PM »
"You shoulda changed the law, Hillary!"
Yeah, change the law all by herself in a senate that cannot get anything done. Is Trump this stupid?
Do senators not have the ability to change law?
They have an ability to propose it which would easily get shut down? Like it ALWAYS does?
As the most powerful senator in the democrat controlled congress?
Clinton was the junior Senator from New York - hardly the most powerful Senator.
1001
« on: October 19, 2016, 09:09:38 PM »
"You shoulda changed the law, Hillary!"
Yeah, change the law all by herself in a senate that cannot get anything done. Is Trump this stupid?
Do senators not have the ability to change law?
Not on their own - sixty senators are required to get anything done.
1002
« on: October 19, 2016, 09:07:50 PM »
Trump outright goes against his running mate and daughters statement.
1003
« on: October 19, 2016, 08:38:38 PM »
I give it to Trump, he's definitely doing better this debate.
That said, it likely won't impact the race drastically
Give it 10 minutes. Also, no he isn't.
Only took 3 minutes. And yes he was
1004
« on: October 19, 2016, 08:35:31 PM »
I give it to Trump, he's definitely doing better this debate.
That said, it likely won't impact the race drastically
1005
« on: October 19, 2016, 08:32:26 PM »
I'm hearing a lot of sniffling.
Also, the candidates are both falling apart.
1006
« on: October 19, 2016, 08:20:05 PM »
Clinton is definitely going with a more logical approach to the issue, and Trump is pushing a more emotional route.
1007
« on: October 19, 2016, 08:16:23 PM »
I must say, I'm enjoying Wallace so far.
He should be great. It's notable that he's the first moderator from Fox, and he was chosen for his experience and traits, not as to represent the network.
I heard that as well. And so far, I enjoy seeing him dig in.
1008
« on: October 19, 2016, 08:13:28 PM »
I must say, I'm enjoying Wallace so far.
1009
« on: October 19, 2016, 08:09:49 PM »
edit: hey weird Donny doesn't look like a tangerine tonight
They applied copious amounts of powder.
1010
« on: October 19, 2016, 08:05:50 PM »
SCOTUS to start
1011
« on: October 19, 2016, 07:11:58 PM »
Expect Trump to conduct a scorched earth policy tonight
1012
« on: October 19, 2016, 12:49:51 PM »
When will the debate be on
9 p.m. EST, the same as the others. Though I'd say expect it to be about 5-10 minutes late
1013
« on: October 19, 2016, 10:07:27 AM »
After over a year of campaigning and Trump - tonight is the final Presidential Debate of 2016.
Moderated by Fox New's Chris Wallace, topics to be covered include immigration, entitlements and debt, the Supreme Court, the economy, foreign policy, and each candidate's fitness to serve as president.
Use this thread to talk shit.
1014
« on: October 17, 2016, 06:04:32 PM »
Can you be more specific? Cuz the middle east includes this (except the caucuses) so there's too much here for me to actually try and explain.
Democratic elections where he was the only one running.
A country where only one man can run for president is a dictatorship.
Would you have called all of the great empires from the past, such as England, France, Spain, Russia, and China dictatorships?
This has to be one of the dumbest statements I've read in my 21 years on this planet.
1015
« on: October 17, 2016, 11:02:51 AM »
I wouldn't be surprised if there is a decent swath of shy Trump supporters - the undecided/unaffiliated bloc of voters for this year is slightly larger than in past Presidential elections.
That being said, I don't believe it's enough support to tilt the election back into Trump's hands - at least nationally. You may see some states that end up being much closer than what's currently being predicted.
1016
« on: October 14, 2016, 11:23:51 AM »
This isn't a shock.
1017
« on: October 12, 2016, 09:05:17 PM »
One blowjob shot.
1018
« on: October 12, 2016, 08:48:52 PM »
Ass
1019
« on: October 12, 2016, 08:44:53 PM »
fuck off icy no one likes you
choke on your cock.
1020
« on: October 12, 2016, 08:42:10 PM »
Why is this back
Damn it Psy
YOU CANNOT STOP THE UNSTOPPABLE
I will delete this thread.
Delete your gayness instead
I will if Donald J Trump is elected President.
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