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Messages - Alternative Facts

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841
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 178-131)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:42:49 PM »
538 flipped again.

Quote
Right now, Trump leads in both Michigan and Wisconsin. If those hold, I don’t really see a path for Clinton to win. If, however, Clinton wins those two states, she’ll be on track to win. If she loses one of them, she still has a path that includes Arizona, where the race is tight. Even if she does win either Michigan or Wisconsin, though, Trump is the favorite.

Also from 538

Quote
Looking at the map of Wisconsin, Clinton is in big trouble. Much of the vote from Milwaukee is in, and Clinton is still down by nearly 3 percentage points statewide. If Trump wins here, Clinton is in big trouble nationally.

842
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 178-131)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:38:49 PM »
It's FAR, FAR from over.

Very true - and I don't agree with you often.

There are still several hundred precincts out in the Detroit/Ann Arbor/Flint that heavily vote Democratic.

843
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 178-131)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:34:35 PM »
oh my kek I can't wait for the libbie tears

Ha. I accept being wrong. The polls were off in a lot of places, and third party didn't relent.

And props to Donald Trump if he does win.

844
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 150-109)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:32:24 PM »
Take a look at 538

55% chance Trump takes it

Yeah, a lot is going well for Trump.

About 1/3 of the vote for Michigan is in, and it's looking like it will be the deciding state.

845
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 178-131)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:28:59 PM »
Colorado and Virginia bring Clinton up to 131

846
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 150-109)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:26:34 PM »
Virginia goes to Clinton

847
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 150-109)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:21:02 PM »
MSNBC calls Ohio to Donald Trump

848
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 150-109)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:20:01 PM »
Trump's pretty much taken Florida lmao.

Yes he has.

It was a huge race though - estimates are that it could be 2 million new voters

849
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 150-109)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:17:15 PM »
I will admit I was wrong on the strength of "Hidden Trump" supporters.


850
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 140-109)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:07:24 PM »
Donald Trump called in Missouri.

150-109

851
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:05:40 PM »
First Brexit, now this.

If there's anything to be gained from contemporary politics nowadays is that opinion polls are garbage.

Still far too early.
The polls never predicted it to be this close though.

That's the difficulty of polling.

852
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:02:59 PM »
First Brexit, now this.

If there's anything to be gained from contemporary politics nowadays is that opinion polls are garbage.

Still far too early.

853
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:02:35 PM »
Who the fuck is McMullin?

Independent Republican, Mormon.

854
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 09:01:13 PM »
10PM Closings per MSNBC

Iowa, Nevada, Utah too close to call

Montana goes to Trump

855
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:56:11 PM »
Clinton is back up in Virginia

856
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:53:14 PM »
I'm hearing that the NYT is putting the chances of a Trump presidency at 58%.

Yup

Pissing our pants yet?

Why would I?

857
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:49:56 PM »
Fox News has declared Clinton the winner of New Mexico. Waiting on others

858
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:49:19 PM »
I'm hearing that the NYT is putting the chances of a Trump presidency at 58%.

Yup

859
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:43:39 PM »
Trump's lead in Virginia has fallen to lower than 1%, around 21,000 votes

Still enough vote in the DC and Richmond metro area that Clinton could flip. It would be a razor edge though

She'll win VA

She will, but it's a lot closer than anyone - even Trump - expected.

This isn't the night Clinton was expecting.

860
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:38:38 PM »
Trump's lead in Virginia has fallen to lower than 1%, around 21,000 votes

Still enough vote in the DC and Richmond metro area that Clinton could flip. It would be a razor edge though

861
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:35:10 PM »
Minnesota has gone blue again.

Wisconsin and Michigan should as well, once the major urban areas come in.

This race will open back up.

862
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:20:34 PM »
Closer than you expected though?

Honestly, Its much closer than I thought.

Sure is

863
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Trump Winning 138-104)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:11:57 PM »
Worried Icy? Trump is doing a lot better than expected.

Not really.

I don't get worried.

864
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Clinton Winning 75-72)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:02:09 PM »
As per MSNBC,

Arizona, Colorado, Wisconsin, Michigan, Minessota, New Mexico is too early/close to call

Kansas, Louisiana, Nebraska, North and South Dakota, Wyoming, Texas goes to Trump

New York goes to Clinton

865
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Clinton Winning 75-72)
« on: November 08, 2016, 08:00:31 PM »
Maybe they're doing it for both candidates, but I wanted to know if there's a specific reason they do this. New Jersey is a current example.

What do you mean by New Jersey?

Spoiler

They base it on exit polling data and historical trend, which isn't anything new. The NYT's also has the state called for Clinton.

Newark vote is still out, and will drive Clinton's numbers up big time

866
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Clinton Winning 75-72)
« on: November 08, 2016, 07:55:16 PM »
Maybe they're doing it for both candidates, but I wanted to know if there's a specific reason they do this. New Jersey is a current example.

What do you mean by New Jersey?

867
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Clinton Winning 75-72)
« on: November 08, 2016, 07:52:00 PM »
NYT has Clinton leading in Missouri

868
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Clinton Winning 75-72)
« on: November 08, 2016, 07:41:54 PM »
Clinton is doing better in Ohio than expected, and Trump is doing better in Florida.


869
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Clinton Winning 75-66)
« on: November 08, 2016, 07:31:15 PM »
Arkansas goes to Trump

870
Serious / Re: Election Day 2016 Megathread (Clinton Winning 75-66)
« on: November 08, 2016, 07:23:10 PM »
Trump has taken a lead of about 7,000 votes in Florida

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